MLS Predictor as of April 12
Brought to you by Python (the programming language)!
How it works: A computer program reads in the completed results and simulates the rest of the season many times, using a fairly simple match engine for scores and basing results on the ELO ratings of the two teams. The ELO ratings are guessed at the start of the season, using several sources of pre-season predictions, but will fluctuate based on results in the actual games played, eventually making the initial ELO predictions almost irrelevant. In each sim the program simulates the MLS playoffs and counts how many times each team finishes in/out of the playoffs, in each position, and making a strong playoff run (semi-finals or better). This file will be updated as MLS results come in, so check back often!
Scroll down to compare with the most recent run and see which direction teams are headed.
0.00% may mean there were some sims that got the result, but not enough to round to 0.01%.
Latest results added: TOR 1-1 CIN, ATX 1-2 LAG, MTL 1-2 PHI, POR 2-1 LAF, N.E 1-0 DCU, MIA 2-2 NYR, CLT 1-2 NSH, VCR 2-0 NYF, DAL 1-1 STL, SKC 1-3 S.J, CHI 1-0 ATL, COL 6-2 HOU, S.D 1-2 MIN, (Sunday) CLB 1-1 ORL. (SEA - RSL postponed to Sept. 23, I assume due to World Cup preparations at Lumen Field).
Summary: After the April 11 "undercard" matches, which included Toronto giving up a late shorthanded goal to draw with Cincinnati at home, and Philadelphia finally getting a win, we have a new Wooden Spoon favourite, allowing Sporting KC fans to relax for a few hours at least and hand the spotlight to ... Montreal, who lost 2-1 at home to Philly and dropped to 30th place in the ELO rankings! The main events are still to come in "Super Saturday," with (finally!) several matches between top-tier teams.
The interim match was a surprise 2-1 win for Portland over a rested LAFC squad with many of their top players not making the trip. This dropped LAFC to #2 in the rankings behind Miami, and moved Portland up seven places to 18th!
Vancouver's win against NYCFC moved them up to #1 overall after LAFC's loss in Portland, and #2 in the rankings behind Miami, who got another draw in their new stadium against Red Bulls NY, losing two more points in the race with Nashville, who lead the East by four points after their win in Charlotte. SKC re-took the Wooden Spoon pole position with their 3-1 loss at home to San Jose, but have risen to #29 in the ELO rankings thanks to Montreal's plummet after the loss to Philly. Chicago's win against Atlanta moved them past Miami for second in the East.
The later games saw Houston thumped by Colorado, bringng Colorado level with Dallas for sixth in the ultracompetitive West, and Minnesota upset San Diego at home by grabbing the lead and bunkering after a San Diego player was sent off, and putting the two teams tied at 11 points and eighth in the West. Five home losses today, four by a 1-2 scoreline and the other by a 1-3 scoreline. Sunday's 1-1 draw between Columbus and Orlando kept both teams pretty much where they were last week.
EASTERN (Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up TEAM |
Points So Far |
Max Points |
Avg. Points |
Make Playoffs |
Supp. Shield |
MLSCup Winner |
MLSCup Loser |
Semi Loser |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
7th |
8th |
9th |
Wooden Spoon |
(Nashville SC) 5W 1D 1L +11GD 1655(5) Next: @ ATL (04/18) , v CLT (04/25) , @ PHI (05/02) | NSH |
|
16 |
97 |
2.29 |
97.31% |
15.16% |
4.66% |
4.84% |
8.94% |
34.43% |
19.90% |
13.25% |
9.72% |
6.85% |
5.10% |
3.64% |
2.60% |
1.82% |
0.01% |
(Chicago Fire) 4W 1D 2L +4 GD 1548(10) Next: @ CIN (04/18) , v SKC (04/25) , v CIN (05/02) | CHI |
|
13 |
94 |
1.86 |
85.90% |
2.99% |
3.92% |
4.80% |
9.61% |
9.44% |
12.01% |
11.78% |
11.24% |
10.34% |
9.58% |
8.13% |
7.27% |
6.00% |
0.09% |
| |
(Inter Miami) 3W 3D 1L +1 GD 1696(1) Next: @ COL (04/18) , @ RSL (04/22) , v N.E (04/25) | MIA |
|
12 |
93 |
1.71 |
96.38% |
9.74% |
5.47% |
4.92% |
9.56% |
26.62% |
21.06% |
15.41% |
10.62% |
7.78% |
5.65% |
4.18% |
2.95% |
2.09% |
0.01% |
(New York City FC) 3W 2D 2L +5 GD 1540(11) Next: v CLT (04/18) , v CIN (04/22) , @ MTL (04/26) | NYF |
|
11 |
92 |
1.57 |
81.83% |
2.21% |
3.66% |
4.86% |
9.34% |
7.58% |
9.83% |
10.82% |
10.63% |
10.38% |
9.44% |
8.68% |
7.48% |
6.83% |
0.16% |
| |
(Charlotte FC) 3W 2D 2L +4 GD 1507(14) Next: @ NYF (04/18) , @ ORL (04/22) , @ NSH (04/25) | CLT |
|
11 |
92 |
1.57 |
78.88% |
1.38% |
3.21% |
4.86% |
8.35% |
5.34% |
8.73% |
9.85% |
10.19% |
10.09% |
9.64% |
9.02% |
8.30% |
7.41% |
0.32% |
(Toronto FC) 3W 2D 2L -1 GD 1483(16) Next: v ATX (04/18) , v PHI (04/22) , v ATL (04/25) | TOR |
|
11 |
92 |
1.57 |
73.64% |
1.11% |
3.41% |
4.65% |
8.12% |
4.31% |
6.86% |
7.84% |
9.20% |
9.60% |
9.32% |
9.17% |
8.92% |
8.04% |
0.38% |
(New York Red Bulls) 3W 2D 2L -4 GD 1492(15) Next: @ MTL (04/18) , v DCU (04/22) , @ CIN (04/25) | NYR |
|
11 |
92 |
1.57 |
75.87% |
1.39% |
3.55% |
4.54% |
8.36% |
5.03% |
7.43% |
9.24% |
9.62% |
9.85% |
9.53% |
8.98% |
8.32% |
7.45% |
0.41% |
(New England Revolution) 3W 0D 3L +3 GD 1444(19) Next: v CLB (04/18) , @ ATL (04/22) , @ MIA (04/25) | N.E |
|
9 |
93 |
1.50 |
65.14% |
0.93% |
2.97% |
4.04% |
7.46% |
3.44% |
5.06% |
6.56% |
7.20% |
7.77% |
8.27% |
8.36% |
8.86% |
8.59% |
1.04% |
(DC United) 2W 1D 4L -5 GD 1343(27) Next: @ PHI (04/18) , @ NYR (04/22) , v ORL (04/25) | DCU |
|
7 |
88 |
1.00 |
41.59% |
0.06% |
1.81% |
2.60% |
4.30% |
0.49% |
1.18% |
2.04% |
3.05% |
3.83% |
4.98% |
6.08% |
7.04% |
8.31% |
4.61% |
| |
(FC Cincinnati) 2W 1D 4L -6 GD 1439(20) Next: v CHI (04/18) , @ NYF (04/22) , v NYR (04/25) | CIN |
|
7 |
88 |
1.00 |
53.40% |
0.20% |
2.91% |
3.69% |
6.21% |
1.15% |
2.54% |
3.76% |
4.99% |
6.18% |
6.73% |
7.92% |
8.73% |
8.78% |
2.62% |
(Columbus Crew) 1W 3D 3L -1 GD 1445(18) Next: @ N.E (04/18) , v LAG (04/22) , v PHI (04/25) | CLB |
|
6 |
87 |
0.86 |
55.66% |
0.15% |
2.89% |
3.61% |
6.41% |
1.25% |
2.60% |
4.21% |
5.33% |
6.53% |
7.59% |
8.06% |
8.57% |
9.13% |
2.40% |
(Atlanta United FC) 1W 1D 5L -6 GD 1301(28) Next: v NSH (04/18) , v N.E (04/22) , @ TOR (04/25) | ATL |
|
4 |
85 |
0.57 |
34.02% |
0.01% |
1.10% |
1.70% |
2.50% |
0.12% |
0.40% |
0.85% |
1.30% |
1.98% |
2.62% |
3.59% |
4.31% |
5.78% |
13.07% |
(Orlando City) 1W 1D 5L -18GD 1412(23) Next: v HOU (04/18) , v CLT (04/22) , @ DCU (04/25) | ORL |
|
4 |
85 |
0.57 |
46.24% |
0.05% |
2.25% |
3.12% |
5.34% |
0.45% |
1.54% |
2.51% |
3.79% |
4.72% |
5.64% |
6.75% |
7.46% |
8.36% |
5.03% |
(Philadelphia Union) 1W 0D 6L -6 GD 1369(26) Next: v DCU (04/18) , @ TOR (04/22) , @ CLB (04/25) | PHI |
|
3 |
84 |
0.43 |
37.20% |
0.02% |
1.65% |
2.22% |
3.68% |
0.28% |
0.64% |
1.36% |
2.14% |
2.65% |
4.01% |
4.83% |
5.88% |
6.90% |
8.51% |
(CF Montréal) 1W 0D 6L -11GD 1261(30) Next: v NYR (04/18) , v NYF (04/26) , @ ATL (05/02) | MTL |
|
3 |
84 |
0.43 |
35.00% |
0.01% |
0.88% |
1.22% |
1.84% |
0.08% |
0.24% |
0.52% |
0.96% |
1.46% |
1.90% |
2.61% |
3.31% |
4.52% |
19.41% |
WESTERN (Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up TEAM |
Points So Far |
Max Points |
Avg. Points |
Make Playoffs |
Supp. Shield |
MLSCup Winner |
MLSCup Loser |
Semi Loser |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
7th |
8th |
9th |
Wooden Spoon |
(Vancouver Whitecaps FC) 6W 0D 1L +15GD 1672(2) Next: v SKC (04/17) , v COL (04/25) , @ LAG (05/02) | VCR |
|
18 |
99 |
2.57 |
95.14% |
16.82% |
5.33% |
3.78% |
9.28% |
23.98% |
17.74% |
14.23% |
11.16% |
8.93% |
6.93% |
5.30% |
3.92% |
2.96% |
0.00% |
(San Jose Earthquakes) 6W 0D 1L +11GD 1617(6) Next: @ LAF (04/19) , v ATX (04/22) , @ STL (04/25) | S.J |
|
18 |
99 |
2.57 |
91.13% |
11.30% |
4.75% |
3.75% |
9.44% |
16.59% |
14.68% |
12.95% |
11.26% |
10.07% |
8.66% |
7.01% |
5.49% |
4.41% |
0.00% |
| |
(Los Angeles FC) 5W 1D 1L +13GD 1669(3) Next: v S.J (04/19) , v COL (04/22) , @ MIN (04/25) | LAF |
|
16 |
97 |
2.29 |
92.31% |
11.64% |
5.96% |
3.99% |
10.13% |
17.45% |
15.50% |
13.19% |
11.60% |
9.88% |
8.18% |
6.98% |
5.31% |
4.21% |
0.01% |
(Real Salt Lake) 4W 1D 1L +4 GD 1566(8) Next: v S.D (04/18) , v MIA (04/22) , @ LAG (04/26) | RSL |
|
13 |
97 |
2.17 |
78.58% |
4.63% |
4.41% |
3.86% |
8.70% |
7.43% |
9.02% |
9.54% |
9.74% |
9.71% |
9.20% |
8.68% |
8.24% |
6.94% |
0.08% |
| |
(Seattle Sounders) 4W 1D 1L +4 GD 1668(4) Next: v STL (04/18) , v DAL (04/25) , @ SKC (05/02) | SEA |
|
13 |
97 |
2.17 |
92.77% |
11.86% |
5.32% |
3.91% |
9.50% |
18.06% |
16.08% |
13.69% |
11.76% |
9.68% |
7.99% |
6.54% |
5.01% |
3.96% |
0.00% |
(Colorado Rapids) 4W 0D 3L +7 GD 1508(13) Next: v MIA (04/18) , @ LAF (04/22) , @ VCR (04/25) | COL |
|
12 |
93 |
1.71 |
64.36% |
1.26% |
4.14% |
3.39% |
7.58% |
2.50% |
4.44% |
5.84% |
7.07% |
7.96% |
8.41% |
9.28% |
9.52% |
9.11% |
0.24% |
(FC Dallas) 3W 3D 1L +5 GD 1551(9) Next: v LAG (04/18) , v MIN (04/22) , @ SEA (04/25) | DAL |
|
12 |
93 |
1.71 |
69.88% |
1.96% |
4.70% |
3.62% |
8.43% |
3.70% |
5.56% |
7.00% |
7.86% |
8.59% |
9.58% |
9.20% |
9.13% |
9.06% |
0.20% |
(San Diego FC) 3W 2D 2L +4 GD 1531(12) Next: @ RSL (04/18) , @ HOU (04/22) , v POR (04/25) | S.D |
|
11 |
92 |
1.57 |
65.64% |
1.29% |
4.22% |
3.56% |
7.85% |
2.55% |
4.08% |
5.60% |
7.24% |
8.00% |
9.02% |
9.48% |
9.68% |
9.71% |
0.27% |
(Minnesota United FC) 3W 2D 2L -5 GD 1606(7) Next: v POR (04/18) , @ DAL (04/22) , v LAF (04/25) | MIN |
|
11 |
92 |
1.57 |
80.80% |
3.22% |
4.85% |
3.94% |
8.78% |
6.09% |
8.51% |
10.06% |
10.65% |
10.77% |
9.97% |
9.26% |
8.63% |
6.76% |
0.10% |
| |
(LA Galaxy) 2W 2D 3L -1 GD 1428(21) Next: @ DAL (04/18) , @ CLB (04/22) , v RSL (04/26) | LAG |
|
8 |
89 |
1.14 |
39.79% |
0.18% |
2.46% |
2.21% |
4.58% |
0.56% |
1.28% |
1.92% |
2.83% |
3.54% |
4.85% |
6.18% |
7.06% |
8.87% |
2.69% |
(Portland Timbers) 2W 1D 4L -5 GD 1448(17) Next: @ MIN (04/18) , @ S.D (04/25) , @ RSL (05/02) | POR |
|
7 |
88 |
1.00 |
41.58% |
0.14% |
2.79% |
2.30% |
4.66% |
0.32% |
1.06% |
2.06% |
2.84% |
3.97% |
5.32% |
6.51% |
8.26% |
8.87% |
2.35% |
(Houston Dynamo FC) 2W 0D 4L -6 GD 1391(25) Next: @ ORL (04/18) , v S.D (04/22) , @ ATX (04/25) | HOU |
|
6 |
90 |
1.00 |
35.04% |
0.14% |
2.13% |
1.83% |
3.52% |
0.30% |
0.77% |
1.52% |
2.12% |
3.07% |
3.84% |
5.05% |
6.26% |
7.52% |
4.59% |
(Austin FC) 1W 3D 3L -3 GD 1392(24) Next: @ TOR (04/18) , @ S.J (04/22) , v HOU (04/25) | ATX |
|
6 |
87 |
0.86 |
30.09% |
0.06% |
1.78% |
1.58% |
2.85% |
0.16% |
0.42% |
0.79% |
1.50% |
2.10% |
3.08% |
3.99% |
5.29% |
6.89% |
5.88% |
(St. Louis City SC) 1W 3D 3L -3 GD 1424(22) Next: @ SEA (04/18) , v S.J (04/25) , @ ATX (05/03) | STL |
|
6 |
87 |
0.86 |
36.18% |
0.09% |
2.31% |
2.11% |
3.89% |
0.28% |
0.82% |
1.54% |
2.11% |
3.36% |
4.21% |
5.31% |
6.48% |
8.04% |
4.02% |
(Sporting Kansas City) 1W 1D 5L -10GD 1266(29) Next: @ VCR (04/17) , @ CHI (04/25) , v SEA (05/02) | SKC |
|
4 |
85 |
0.57 |
28.65% |
0.00% |
0.53% |
0.50% |
0.82% |
0.02% |
0.05% |
0.08% |
0.28% |
0.37% |
0.76% |
1.21% |
1.70% |
2.68% |
21.50% |
- Number of sims: 25000
- Supporter's Shield winner average points: 77.28
- Wooden Spoon average points: 17.43
- East winner average points: 72.38
- West winner average points: 75.34
- East 4th place average points: 57.15
- West 4th place average points: 61.02
- East average points to make playoffs: 41.96
- West average points to make playoffs: 45.53
POWER RANKINGS Schedule Strength
# Team Div ELO PPG So Far Remaining
1 MIA E 1696 1.71 1522.2 1442.1
2 VCR W 1672 2.57 1458.2 1501.3
3 LAF W 1669 2.29 1459.2 1520.7
4 SEA W 1668 2.17 1585.4 1470.7
5 NSH E 1655 2.29 1516.2 1446.2
6 S.J W 1617 2.57 1424.7 1515.7
7 MIN W 1606 1.57 1583.5 1476.8
8 RSL W 1566 2.17 1471.6 1509.8
9 DAL W 1551 1.71 1456.6 1522.2
10 CHI E 1548 1.86 1380.8 1483.7
11 NYF E 1540 1.57 1487.0 1468.4
12 S.D W 1531 1.57 1455.8 1514.4
13 COL W 1508 1.71 1474.8 1522.5
14 CLT E 1507 1.57 1450.8 1456.8
15 NYR E 1492 1.57 1477.4 1468.6
16 TOR E 1483 1.57 1492.1 1467.5
17 POR W 1448 1.00 1526.4 1505.6
18 CLB E 1445 0.86 1458.8 1465.7
19 N.E E 1444 1.50 1435.5 1480.3
20 CIN E 1439 1.00 1452.8 1492.9
21 LAG W 1428 1.14 1452.5 1516.6
22 STL W 1424 0.86 1572.9 1497.2
23 ORL E 1412 0.57 1551.0 1465.5
24 ATX W 1392 0.86 1530.6 1519.5
25 HOU W 1391 1.00 1531.8 1506.9
26 PHI E 1369 0.43 1459.6 1479.7
27 DCU E 1343 1.00 1485.9 1477.1
28 ATL E 1301 0.57 1461.0 1480.4
29 SKC W 1266 0.57 1516.1 1523.6
30 MTL E 1261 0.43 1533.6 1476.5
MLS Predictor as of April 4, end of day.
Scroll down to compare with the most recent run and see which direction teams are headed.
0.00% may mean there were some sims that got the result, but not enough to round to 0.01%.
Latest results added: Everyone played a match on a wild Easter Saturday: TOR 3-2 COL, RSL 3-1 SKC, N.E 3-0 MTL, NYR 4-2 CIN, NYF 1-1 STL, MIA 2-2 ATX, DCU 0-4 DAL, CLT 2-1 PHI, ATL 1-3 CLB, CHI 1-0 NSH, HOU 0-1 SEA, LAF 6-0 ORL, VAN 3-2 POR, S.J 3-0 S.D, LAG 1-2 MIN
Summary: Miami's draw at their new home to Austin dropped them to second in the ELO Power Rankings, and LAFC took full advantage with a 6-0 win over Orlando. Nashville remains atop the East standings despite conceding the only goal of the game 18 seconds in in Chicago, dropping them from 3rd to 5th in ELO. Seattle's late winner in Houston moved them from 5th to 3rd, and Vancouver's last minute pair against Portland saved them from what could have been a huge drop, leaving them fourth. San Jose's win at home against San Diego leaves the teams 10th and 4th last week now 6th and 7th. Dallas and Salt Lake are now knocking on the top tier door.
At the other end of the scale, the Wooden Spoon race is now controlled by the team I am calling the Philadelphia 0nion (at least until they get their first point....), but the ELO rankings began by assuming PHI would be a top-six contender this year, so PHI's ELO has not found its level yet. Doesn't stop them from being the favourites for last, followed by Sporting KC, Atlanta, and Montreal, as well as Portland after a frustrating added-time loss to Vancouver.
In the middle of the pack, some upward movement by Toronto, Chicago, New England, and Charlotte has balanced the East-West divide a little, but seven of the top ten are still Western Division squads.
Massive games coming next week: NSH @ CLT, NYF @ VCR, NYR @ MIA, S.J @ SKC, RSL @ SEA. Even PHI @ MTL might be a crucial match in the eventual Wooden Spoon race....
EASTERN (Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up TEAM |
Points So Far |
Max Points |
Avg. Points |
Make Playoffs |
Supp. Shield |
MLSCup Winner |
MLSCup Loser |
Semi Loser |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
7th |
8th |
9th |
Wooden Spoon |
(Nashville SC) 4W 1D 1L +10GD 1610(5) Next: @ CLT (04/11) , @ ATL (04/18) , v CLT (04/25) | NSH |
|
13 |
97 |
2.17 |
93.05% |
7.99% |
4.50% |
4.72% |
9.48% |
20.37% |
17.09% |
13.91% |
11.27% |
8.88% |
7.56% |
5.80% |
4.67% |
3.45% |
0.04% |
(New York City FC) 3W 2D 1L +7 GD 1563(10) Next: @ VCR (04/11) , v CLT (04/18) , v CIN (04/22) | NYF |
|
11 |
95 |
1.83 |
84.99% |
2.89% |
4.18% |
4.96% |
9.65% |
9.36% |
11.66% |
11.80% |
11.17% |
10.38% |
9.28% |
8.13% |
7.12% |
5.96% |
0.12% |
| |
(Charlotte FC) 3W 2D 1L +5 GD 1558(11) Next: v NSH (04/11) , @ NYF (04/18) , @ ORL (04/22) | CLT |
|
11 |
95 |
1.83 |
85.78% |
3.50% |
3.74% |
4.63% |
9.27% |
11.32% |
12.96% |
12.21% |
11.09% |
10.15% |
8.73% |
7.43% |
6.29% |
5.42% |
0.17% |
(Inter Miami) 3W 2D 1L +1 GD 1719(2) Next: v NYR (04/11) , @ COL (04/18) , @ RSL (04/22) | MIA |
|
11 |
95 |
1.83 |
97.14% |
13.85% |
5.26% |
4.57% |
9.37% |
34.92% |
20.34% |
14.20% |
9.49% |
6.43% |
4.47% |
3.46% |
2.22% |
1.59% |
0.01% |
| |
(Chicago Fire) 3W 1D 2L +3 GD 1536(13) Next: v ATL (04/11) , @ CIN (04/18) , v SKC (04/25) | CHI |
|
10 |
94 |
1.67 |
81.29% |
2.15% |
4.04% |
4.67% |
9.04% |
7.31% |
9.66% |
10.77% |
10.45% |
9.72% |
9.41% |
8.98% |
7.75% |
7.01% |
0.23% |
(Toronto FC) 3W 1D 2L -1 GD 1497(14) Next: v CIN (04/11) , v ATX (04/18) , v PHI (04/22) | TOR |
|
10 |
94 |
1.67 |
76.32% |
1.63% |
3.25% |
4.75% |
8.68% |
6.12% |
7.51% |
8.71% |
9.13% |
9.78% |
9.73% |
8.93% |
8.41% |
7.65% |
0.34% |
(New York Red Bulls) 3W 1D 2L -4 GD 1470(16) Next: @ MIA (04/11) , @ MTL (04/18) , v DCU (04/22) | NYR |
|
10 |
94 |
1.67 |
71.25% |
0.97% |
3.05% |
4.46% |
7.97% |
3.68% |
6.13% |
7.47% |
8.53% |
9.09% |
9.27% |
9.09% |
9.04% |
8.45% |
0.52% |
(DC United) 2W 1D 3L -4 GD 1367(26) Next: @ N.E (04/11) , @ PHI (04/18) , @ NYR (04/22) | DCU |
|
7 |
91 |
1.17 |
45.66% |
0.14% |
1.90% |
2.75% |
4.84% |
0.75% |
1.97% |
2.83% |
3.94% |
4.92% |
5.95% |
6.41% |
7.00% |
8.57% |
3.32% |
(New England Revolution) 2W 0D 3L +2 GD 1418(21) Next: v DCU (04/11) , v CLB (04/18) , @ ATL (04/22) | N.E |
|
6 |
93 |
1.20 |
56.16% |
0.43% |
2.62% |
3.53% |
6.30% |
2.08% |
3.56% |
4.75% |
5.55% |
6.36% |
6.93% |
7.83% |
8.46% |
8.33% |
2.29% |
| |
(FC Cincinnati) 2W 0D 4L -6 GD 1426(19) Next: @ TOR (04/11) , v CHI (04/18) , @ NYF (04/22) | CIN |
|
6 |
90 |
1.00 |
51.13% |
0.29% |
2.80% |
3.63% |
5.95% |
1.47% |
2.40% |
3.49% |
4.86% |
5.54% |
6.38% |
7.14% |
8.07% |
8.65% |
3.13% |
(Columbus Crew) 1W 2D 3L -1 GD 1458(18) Next: v ORL (04/12) , @ N.E (04/18) , v LAG (04/22) | CLB |
|
5 |
89 |
0.83 |
59.48% |
0.21% |
3.04% |
3.85% |
6.57% |
1.54% |
3.52% |
4.46% |
6.17% |
7.43% |
7.77% |
8.87% |
8.66% |
9.26% |
1.80% |
(Atlanta United FC) 1W 1D 4L -5 GD 1312(29) Next: @ CHI (04/11) , v NSH (04/18) , v N.E (04/22) | ATL |
|
4 |
88 |
0.67 |
35.44% |
0.03% |
1.39% |
1.96% |
2.71% |
0.22% |
0.65% |
1.09% |
1.61% |
2.38% |
3.19% |
3.82% |
5.30% |
6.41% |
10.78% |
(CF Montréal) 1W 0D 5L -10GD 1319(28) Next: v PHI (04/11) , v NYR (04/18) , v NYF (04/26) | MTL |
|
3 |
87 |
0.50 |
37.84% |
0.03% |
1.46% |
2.02% |
3.19% |
0.32% |
0.74% |
1.41% |
2.08% |
2.85% |
3.46% |
4.55% |
5.58% |
6.32% |
10.52% |
(Orlando City) 1W 0D 5L -18GD 1400(23) Next: @ CLB (04/12) , v HOU (04/18) , v CLT (04/22) | ORL |
|
3 |
87 |
0.50 |
45.16% |
0.04% |
2.35% |
3.02% |
4.59% |
0.44% |
1.47% |
2.29% |
3.49% |
4.38% |
5.50% |
6.50% |
7.50% |
7.78% |
5.82% |
(Philadelphia Union) 0W 0D 6L -7 GD 1319(27) Next: @ MTL (04/11) , v DCU (04/18) , @ TOR (04/22) | PHI |
|
0 |
84 |
0.00 |
36.98% |
0.01% |
1.34% |
1.54% |
2.38% |
0.09% |
0.34% |
0.61% |
1.17% |
1.71% |
2.35% |
3.06% |
3.94% |
5.17% |
18.57% |
WESTERN (Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up TEAM |
Points So Far |
Max Points |
Avg. Points |
Make Playoffs |
Supp. Shield |
MLSCup Winner |
MLSCup Loser |
Semi Loser |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
7th |
8th |
9th |
Wooden Spoon |
(Los Angeles FC) 5W 1D 0L +14GD 1736(1) Next: @ POR (04/11) , v S.J (04/19) , v COL (04/22) | LAF |
|
16 |
100 |
2.67 |
96.95% |
23.44% |
6.54% |
4.08% |
9.31% |
32.48% |
18.63% |
13.29% |
10.26% |
7.88% |
5.25% |
4.12% |
2.83% |
2.21% |
0.00% |
(Vancouver Whitecaps FC) 5W 0D 1L +13GD 1646(4) Next: v NYF (04/11) , v SKC (04/17) , v COL (04/25) | VCR |
|
15 |
99 |
2.50 |
91.75% |
10.65% |
5.50% |
3.99% |
9.35% |
15.89% |
15.05% |
13.13% |
11.74% |
9.86% |
8.54% |
7.38% |
5.82% |
4.33% |
0.01% |
| |
(San Jose Earthquakes) 5W 0D 1L +9 GD 1596(6) Next: @ SKC (04/11) , @ LAF (04/19) , v ATX (04/22) | S.J |
|
15 |
99 |
2.50 |
88.34% |
7.43% |
4.71% |
3.90% |
9.26% |
11.54% |
12.56% |
12.71% |
11.84% |
10.43% |
9.35% |
7.87% |
6.52% |
5.53% |
0.01% |
(Real Salt Lake) 4W 1D 1L +4 GD 1566(9) Next: @ SEA (04/12) , v S.D (04/18) , v MIA (04/22) | RSL |
|
13 |
97 |
2.17 |
80.61% |
4.29% |
4.58% |
3.88% |
9.39% |
6.98% |
9.14% |
10.18% |
9.88% |
10.46% |
9.71% |
9.05% |
8.15% |
6.95% |
0.10% |
| |
(Seattle Sounders) 4W 1D 1L +4 GD 1668(3) Next: v RSL (04/12) , v STL (04/18) , v DAL (04/25) | SEA |
|
13 |
97 |
2.17 |
92.80% |
11.43% |
4.99% |
3.71% |
9.22% |
16.96% |
16.55% |
14.43% |
11.72% |
9.72% |
7.82% |
6.59% |
5.08% |
3.92% |
0.01% |
(FC Dallas) 3W 2D 1L +5 GD 1570(8) Next: v STL (04/11) , v LAG (04/18) , v MIN (04/22) | DAL |
|
11 |
95 |
1.83 |
75.93% |
2.58% |
4.69% |
3.90% |
8.74% |
4.61% |
7.55% |
8.41% |
9.16% |
9.80% |
9.98% |
9.10% |
9.12% |
8.01% |
0.19% |
(San Diego FC) 3W 2D 1L +5 GD 1594(7) Next: v MIN (04/11) , @ RSL (04/18) , @ HOU (04/22) | S.D |
|
11 |
95 |
1.83 |
79.48% |
3.21% |
4.87% |
4.01% |
9.70% |
5.62% |
8.06% |
9.28% |
10.45% |
10.52% |
9.80% |
9.80% |
8.46% |
7.37% |
0.12% |
(Colorado Rapids) 3W 0D 3L +3 GD 1477(15) Next: v HOU (04/11) , v MIA (04/18) , @ LAF (04/22) | COL |
|
9 |
93 |
1.50 |
56.22% |
0.72% |
3.41% |
3.06% |
6.38% |
1.42% |
3.13% |
4.24% |
5.25% |
6.16% |
7.61% |
8.71% |
9.12% |
9.87% |
0.71% |
(Minnesota United FC) 2W 2D 2L -6 GD 1551(12) Next: @ S.D (04/11) , v POR (04/18) , @ DAL (04/22) | MIN |
|
8 |
92 |
1.33 |
68.80% |
1.31% |
4.46% |
3.92% |
8.29% |
2.69% |
4.86% |
6.67% |
7.72% |
8.44% |
9.62% |
9.52% |
9.75% |
9.05% |
0.48% |
| |
(Houston Dynamo FC) 2W 0D 3L -2 GD 1419(20) Next: @ COL (04/11) , @ ORL (04/18) , v S.D (04/22) | HOU |
|
6 |
93 |
1.20 |
42.01% |
0.28% |
2.29% |
2.31% |
4.68% |
0.56% |
1.25% |
2.10% |
3.15% |
4.16% |
5.45% |
6.08% |
7.61% |
8.59% |
3.06% |
(Austin FC) 1W 3D 2L -2 GD 1460(17) Next: v LAG (04/11) , @ TOR (04/18) , @ S.J (04/22) | ATX |
|
6 |
90 |
1.00 |
45.41% |
0.25% |
2.77% |
2.62% |
5.11% |
0.67% |
1.67% |
2.40% |
3.65% |
4.54% |
5.92% |
6.99% |
7.96% |
9.36% |
2.27% |
(LA Galaxy) 1W 2D 3L -2 GD 1368(25) Next: @ ATX (04/11) , @ DAL (04/18) , @ CLB (04/22) | LAG |
|
5 |
89 |
0.83 |
30.14% |
0.05% |
1.71% |
1.53% |
2.72% |
0.17% |
0.45% |
0.84% |
1.26% |
2.03% |
2.79% |
3.65% |
5.08% |
6.54% |
7.33% |
(St. Louis City SC) 1W 2D 3L -3 GD 1405(22) Next: @ DAL (04/11) , @ SEA (04/18) , v S.J (04/25) | STL |
|
5 |
89 |
0.83 |
36.79% |
0.12% |
2.25% |
1.76% |
3.97% |
0.28% |
0.71% |
1.46% |
2.31% |
3.35% |
4.09% |
5.39% |
6.37% |
8.03% |
4.80% |
(Portland Timbers) 1W 1D 4L -6 GD 1374(24) Next: v LAF (04/11) , @ MIN (04/18) , @ S.D (04/25) | POR |
|
4 |
88 |
0.67 |
29.78% |
0.04% |
1.52% |
1.48% |
2.55% |
0.09% |
0.27% |
0.62% |
1.13% |
1.81% |
2.66% |
3.82% |
5.20% |
6.25% |
7.93% |
(Sporting Kansas City) 1W 1D 4L -8 GD 1289(30) Next: v S.J (04/11) , @ VCR (04/17) , @ CHI (04/25) | SKC |
|
4 |
88 |
0.67 |
27.33% |
0.02% |
0.78% |
0.81% |
1.33% |
0.04% |
0.10% |
0.23% |
0.47% |
0.86% |
1.43% |
1.92% |
2.94% |
4.00% |
15.32% |
- Number of sims: 20000
- Supporter's Shield winner average points: 77.81
- Wooden Spoon average points: 17.20
- East winner average points: 72.66
- West winner average points: 75.97
- East 4th place average points: 57.43
- West 4th place average points: 61.25
- East average points to make playoffs: 42.10
- West average points to make playoffs: 45.19
POWER RANKINGS Schedule Strength
# Team Div ELO PPG So Far Remaining
1 LAF W 1736 2.67 1462.2 1511.4
2 MIA E 1719 1.83 1580.8 1436.6
3 SEA W 1668 2.17 1569.0 1470.5
4 VCR W 1646 2.50 1426.2 1510.5
5 NSH E 1610 2.17 1488.8 1464.0
6 S.J W 1596 2.50 1437.9 1506.5
7 S.D W 1594 1.83 1457.6 1505.6
8 DAL W 1570 1.83 1503.7 1508.3
9 RSL W 1566 2.17 1494.8 1502.4
10 NYF E 1563 1.83 1414.7 1483.0
11 CLT E 1558 1.83 1423.4 1460.0
12 MIN W 1551 1.33 1562.9 1485.1
13 CHI E 1536 1.67 1415.2 1473.3
14 TOR E 1497 1.67 1507.8 1466.3
15 COL W 1477 1.50 1493.0 1522.0
16 NYR E 1470 1.67 1436.3 1487.4
17 ATX W 1460 1.00 1582.7 1503.2
18 CLB E 1458 0.83 1469.6 1458.5
19 CIN E 1426 1.00 1427.6 1499.9
20 HOU W 1419 1.20 1516.7 1507.6
21 N.E E 1418 1.20 1465.9 1474.2
22 STL W 1405 0.83 1589.5 1498.6
23 ORL E 1400 0.50 1569.4 1470.9
24 POR W 1374 0.67 1502.2 1520.6
25 LAG W 1368 0.83 1435.4 1525.6
26 DCU E 1367 1.17 1485.9 1483.2
27 PHI E 1319 0.00 1488.7 1483.7
28 MTL E 1319 0.50 1573.9 1463.8
29 ATL E 1312 0.67 1422.0 1483.2
30 SKC W 1289 0.67 1509.7 1518.0
MLS Predictor as of March 22 (International break next week, next MLS action April 4)
Brought to you by Python (the programming language)!
Latest results added: TOR 2-1 CLB, PHI 1-2 CHI, NSH 5-0 ORL, ATL 0-0 DCU, CLT 6-1 NYR, DAL 4-3 HOU, SKC 1-4 COL, STL 3-1 N.E, ATX 0-0 LAF, VCR 0-1 SJ, Sunday: CIN 4-3 MTL, NYF 2-3 MIA, MIN 0-0 SEA, POR 1-1 LAG, S.D 2-2 RSL.
Summary: We have a new Wooden Spoon front runner, and they are ... last year's Supporters Shield winners, PHI! They will be the last team to get a standings point when they win or tie a game, something that hasn't happened yet. STL's win against N.E got them out of the bottom of the rankings, replaced by Sporting KC. PHI has dropped from #6 to #29 with their five losses. The West continues to be the dominant division, with 9 of the top 13 teams and only four of the bottom 13.
Miami's win at Yankee Stadium put them back on top after their 3-nil defeat at LAFC knocked them off the top spot. The new Miami stadium has kept them on the road, giving them the toughest schedule so far, and 10 points from five road games against a decent group of teams is impressive, with the easiest remaining schedule in the league.
It begins to look as though there are two top tiers developing as we hit the first international break of the season. Tier 1 has MIA, LAF, NSH, S.D, SEA, and VCR, then a 51 point drop to Tier 2: NYF, CLT, S.J, RSL, DAL, MIN, and COL, then a 30 point drop, which takes us through the league average of about 1490. The rest of the teams from #14 CHI at 1481 down to #30 SKC at 1300 have fewer breaks forming tiers, but over time that may develop. Tier 1 teams will compete for division titles, while Tier 2 teams will hope for home advantage in the three-game first round series in the playoffs by finishing fourth or better. After that, it is teams on the bubble for the playoffs, and teams unlikely to make it. However, there is a lot of time left for one or more of our top team teams to fall suddenly and be passed by teams below.
EASTERN (Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up TEAM |
Points So Far |
Max Points |
Avg. Points |
Make Playoffs |
Supp. Shield |
MLSCup Winner |
MLSCup Loser |
Semi Loser |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
7th |
8th |
9th |
Wooden Spoon |
(Nashville SC) 4W 1D 0L +11GD 1658(3) Next: @ CHI (04/04) , @ CLT (04/11) , @ ATL (04/18) | NSH |
|
13 |
100 |
2.60 |
96.25% |
14.89% |
4.80% |
4.38% |
9.36% |
29.01% |
20.45% |
14.62% |
10.44% |
7.21% |
5.42% |
4.09% |
2.99% |
2.00% |
0.01% |
(New York City FC) 3W 1D 1L +7 GD 1584(7) Next: v STL (04/04) , @ VCR (04/11) , v CLT (04/18) | NYF |
|
10 |
97 |
2.00 |
87.92% |
4.99% |
4.21% |
4.60% |
9.11% |
10.88% |
14.31% |
14.17% |
11.83% |
10.07% |
7.99% |
7.47% |
6.13% |
4.97% |
0.07% |
| |
(Inter Miami) 3W 1D 1L +1 GD 1743(1) Next: v ATX (04/04) , v NYR (04/11) , @ COL (04/18) | MIA |
|
10 |
97 |
2.00 |
97.82% |
18.97% |
5.91% |
4.49% |
9.08% |
37.41% |
22.89% |
13.60% |
8.53% |
5.76% |
4.15% |
2.67% |
1.60% |
1.21% |
0.00% |
(Charlotte FC) 2W 2D 1L +4 GD 1546(9) Next: v PHI (04/04) , v NSH (04/11) , @ NYF (04/18) | CLT |
|
8 |
95 |
1.60 |
81.50% |
2.29% |
3.76% |
4.59% |
9.05% |
6.80% |
10.63% |
11.79% |
11.03% |
10.55% |
9.05% |
8.01% |
6.77% |
6.52% |
0.35% |
| |
(Chicago Fire) 2W 1D 2L +2 GD 1481(14) Next: v NSH (04/04) , v ATL (04/11) , @ CIN (04/18) | CHI |
|
7 |
94 |
1.40 |
68.92% |
0.97% |
3.42% |
4.16% |
7.79% |
3.33% |
5.65% |
7.57% |
8.59% |
8.99% |
8.57% |
8.51% |
8.58% |
8.04% |
1.09% |
(DC United) 2W 1D 2L +0 GD 1420(20) Next: v DAL (04/04) , @ N.E (04/11) , @ PHI (04/18) | DCU |
|
7 |
94 |
1.40 |
60.21% |
0.49% |
2.71% |
3.53% |
6.74% |
1.82% |
4.07% |
5.32% |
6.67% |
7.49% |
8.24% |
7.97% |
8.13% |
8.45% |
2.05% |
(Toronto FC) 2W 1D 2L -2 GD 1458(16) Next: v COL (04/04) , v CIN (04/11) , v ATX (04/18) | TOR |
|
7 |
94 |
1.40 |
66.16% |
0.89% |
2.93% |
3.99% |
7.64% |
3.07% |
5.28% |
6.79% |
7.84% |
8.07% |
8.76% |
8.48% |
8.52% |
8.08% |
1.27% |
(New York Red Bulls) 2W 1D 2L -6 GD 1429(19) Next: v CIN (04/04) , @ MIA (04/11) , @ MTL (04/18) | NYR |
|
7 |
94 |
1.40 |
60.48% |
0.59% |
2.83% |
3.58% |
6.71% |
1.90% |
3.90% |
5.30% |
6.73% |
7.39% |
8.55% |
8.23% |
7.67% |
8.68% |
2.13% |
(FC Cincinnati) 2W 0D 3L -4 GD 1461(15) Next: @ NYR (04/04) , @ TOR (04/11) , v CHI (04/18) | CIN |
|
6 |
93 |
1.20 |
61.34% |
0.63% |
3.30% |
4.01% |
7.09% |
2.05% |
3.81% |
5.83% |
6.73% |
7.46% |
7.93% |
8.37% |
8.55% |
8.58% |
2.03% |
| |
(Atlanta United FC) 1W 1D 3L -3 GD 1371(27) Next: v CLB (04/04) , @ CHI (04/11) , v NSH (04/18) | ATL |
|
4 |
91 |
0.80 |
46.24% |
0.15% |
2.17% |
2.94% |
5.10% |
0.65% |
1.61% |
2.44% |
3.69% |
4.69% |
5.70% |
6.41% |
7.36% |
7.55% |
6.14% |
(New England Revolution) 1W 0D 3L -1 GD 1385(25) Next: v MTL (04/04) , v DCU (04/11) , v CLB (04/18) | N.E |
|
3 |
93 |
0.75 |
50.51% |
0.29% |
2.36% |
2.95% |
5.03% |
1.08% |
2.29% |
3.49% |
4.89% |
5.49% |
5.96% |
6.81% |
7.17% |
7.77% |
5.55% |
(CF Montréal) 1W 0D 4L -7 GD 1347(28) Next: @ N.E (04/04) , v PHI (04/11) , v NYR (04/18) | MTL |
|
3 |
90 |
0.60 |
43.53% |
0.12% |
1.76% |
2.45% |
4.25% |
0.59% |
1.21% |
1.92% |
3.23% |
3.85% |
4.71% |
5.59% |
6.40% |
7.41% |
8.63% |
(Orlando City) 1W 0D 4L -12GD 1409(22) Next: @ LAF (04/04) , @ CLB (04/12) , v HOU (04/18) | ORL |
|
3 |
90 |
0.60 |
48.53% |
0.20% |
2.53% |
3.03% |
5.17% |
0.63% |
1.73% |
3.25% |
4.05% |
5.40% |
5.85% |
6.79% |
7.63% |
7.93% |
5.28% |
(Columbus Crew) 0W 2D 3L -3 GD 1407(23) Next: @ ATL (04/04) , v ORL (04/12) , @ N.E (04/18) | CLB |
|
2 |
89 |
0.40 |
49.28% |
0.16% |
2.09% |
3.05% |
5.01% |
0.60% |
1.77% |
3.01% |
4.29% |
5.17% |
6.17% |
6.71% |
7.67% |
7.68% |
6.21% |
(Philadelphia Union) 0W 0D 5L -6 GD 1331(29) Next: @ CLT (04/04) , @ MTL (04/11) , v DCU (04/18) | PHI |
|
0 |
87 |
0.00 |
39.89% |
0.03% |
1.58% |
1.89% |
2.88% |
0.18% |
0.40% |
0.89% |
1.47% |
2.43% |
2.96% |
3.87% |
4.81% |
5.13% |
17.75% |
WESTERN (Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up TEAM |
Points So Far |
Max Points |
Avg. Points |
Make Playoffs |
Supp. Shield |
MLSCup Winner |
MLSCup Loser |
Semi Loser |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
7th |
8th |
9th |
Wooden Spoon |
(Los Angeles FC) 4W 1D 0L +8 GD 1727(2) Next: v ORL (04/04) , @ POR (04/11) , v S.J (04/19) | LAF |
|
13 |
100 |
2.60 |
95.53% |
18.36% |
6.36% |
3.77% |
9.44% |
29.74% |
18.47% |
13.01% |
9.87% |
7.78% |
6.12% |
4.49% |
3.51% |
2.53% |
0.01% |
(Vancouver Whitecaps FC) 4W 0D 1L +12GD 1635(6) Next: v POR (04/04) , v NYF (04/11) , v SKC (04/17) | VCR |
|
12 |
99 |
2.40 |
88.74% |
8.57% |
4.69% |
4.29% |
9.61% |
15.31% |
14.09% |
12.53% |
10.83% |
9.61% |
8.13% |
7.39% |
6.18% |
4.65% |
0.03% |
| |
(San Jose Earthquakes) 4W 0D 1L +6 GD 1545(10) Next: v S.D (04/04) , @ SKC (04/11) , @ LAF (04/19) | S.J |
|
12 |
99 |
2.40 |
78.46% |
4.25% |
4.11% |
3.77% |
8.17% |
7.83% |
9.46% |
10.01% |
9.57% |
9.55% |
8.61% |
8.67% |
7.96% |
6.66% |
0.13% |
(San Diego FC) 3W 2D 0L +8 GD 1638(4) Next: @ S.J (04/04) , v MIN (04/11) , @ RSL (04/18) | S.D |
|
11 |
98 |
2.20 |
86.52% |
7.24% |
5.45% |
3.91% |
9.56% |
13.19% |
12.77% |
12.14% |
11.41% |
9.67% |
8.87% |
7.11% |
5.98% |
5.33% |
0.05% |
| |
(Seattle Sounders) 3W 1D 1L +3 GD 1637(5) Next: @ HOU (04/04) , v RSL (04/12) , v STL (04/18) | SEA |
|
10 |
97 |
2.00 |
88.64% |
7.54% |
4.88% |
3.89% |
9.43% |
14.47% |
14.40% |
12.76% |
11.53% |
9.97% |
8.12% |
7.14% |
5.67% |
4.52% |
0.06% |
(Real Salt Lake) 3W 1D 1L +2 GD 1554(8) Next: v SKC (04/04) , @ SEA (04/12) , v S.D (04/18) | RSL |
|
10 |
97 |
2.00 |
76.59% |
3.03% |
4.10% |
3.70% |
8.15% |
6.13% |
8.60% |
9.39% |
9.57% |
9.55% |
9.19% |
8.50% |
8.12% |
7.20% |
0.33% |
(Colorado Rapids) 3W 0D 2L +4 GD 1511(13) Next: @ TOR (04/04) , v HOU (04/11) , v MIA (04/18) | COL |
|
9 |
96 |
1.80 |
66.07% |
1.65% |
3.73% |
3.45% |
7.51% |
3.67% |
5.32% |
6.61% |
7.69% |
7.84% |
8.30% |
8.39% |
8.65% |
9.07% |
0.53% |
(FC Dallas) 2W 2D 1L +1 GD 1525(11) Next: @ DCU (04/04) , v STL (04/11) , v LAG (04/18) | DAL |
|
8 |
95 |
1.60 |
65.85% |
1.54% |
3.69% |
3.75% |
7.65% |
3.56% |
5.38% |
6.62% |
7.11% |
7.97% |
8.59% |
8.85% |
8.80% |
8.28% |
0.69% |
(Houston Dynamo FC) 2W 0D 2L -1 GD 1453(17) Next: v SEA (04/04) , @ COL (04/11) , @ ORL (04/18) | HOU |
|
6 |
96 |
1.50 |
52.52% |
0.71% |
3.05% |
2.80% |
5.89% |
1.91% |
3.27% |
4.13% |
4.98% |
5.86% |
6.65% |
7.45% |
7.90% |
8.30% |
2.08% |
| |
(LA Galaxy) 1W 2D 2L -1 GD 1413(21) Next: v MIN (04/04) , @ ATX (04/11) , @ DAL (04/18) | LAG |
|
5 |
92 |
1.00 |
40.58% |
0.29% |
2.27% |
2.22% |
4.23% |
0.72% |
1.36% |
2.09% |
3.03% |
3.89% |
4.80% |
5.63% |
6.31% |
7.59% |
5.15% |
(Austin FC) 1W 2D 2L -2 GD 1436(18) Next: @ MIA (04/04) , v LAG (04/11) , @ TOR (04/18) | ATX |
|
5 |
92 |
1.00 |
42.79% |
0.23% |
3.09% |
2.55% |
4.42% |
0.73% |
1.53% |
2.42% |
3.35% |
4.50% |
5.25% |
6.15% |
6.94% |
8.38% |
3.54% |
(Minnesota United FC) 1W 2D 2L -7 GD 1511(12) Next: @ LAG (04/04) , @ S.D (04/11) , v POR (04/18) | MIN |
|
5 |
92 |
1.00 |
58.88% |
0.73% |
3.37% |
3.42% |
7.14% |
2.04% |
3.51% |
5.10% |
6.35% |
6.70% |
7.79% |
8.35% |
8.79% |
8.49% |
1.76% |
(St. Louis City SC) 1W 1D 3L -3 GD 1385(24) Next: @ NYF (04/04) , @ DAL (04/11) , @ SEA (04/18) | STL |
|
4 |
91 |
0.80 |
35.89% |
0.13% |
1.85% |
1.87% |
3.46% |
0.34% |
0.89% |
1.49% |
2.04% |
2.99% |
3.74% |
4.87% |
6.08% |
7.07% |
6.38% |
(Portland Timbers) 1W 1D 3L -5 GD 1384(26) Next: @ VCR (04/04) , v LAF (04/11) , @ MIN (04/18) | POR |
|
4 |
91 |
0.80 |
34.45% |
0.05% |
1.91% |
1.86% |
3.47% |
0.27% |
0.68% |
1.13% |
1.82% |
2.63% |
3.73% |
4.43% |
5.61% |
7.15% |
7.01% |
(Sporting Kansas City) 1W 1D 3L -6 GD 1300(30) Next: @ RSL (04/04) , v S.J (04/11) , @ VCR (04/17) | SKC |
|
4 |
91 |
0.80 |
29.89% |
0.02% |
1.10% |
1.12% |
1.88% |
0.09% |
0.26% |
0.58% |
0.85% |
1.47% |
2.11% |
2.57% |
3.50% |
4.79% |
13.67% |
- Number of sims: 15000
- Supporter's Shield winner average points: 78.05
- Wooden Spoon average points: 17.67
- East winner average points: 74.19
- West winner average points: 75.09
- East 4th place average points: 57.55
- West 4th place average points: 60.29
- East average points to make playoffs: 41.87
- West average points to make playoffs: 45.05
POWER RANKINGS Schedule Strength
# Team Div ELO PPG So Far Remaining
1 MIA E 1743 2.00 1637.2 1435.8
2 LAF W 1727 2.60 1488.6 1505.5
3 NSH E 1658 2.60 1427.7 1470.7
4 S.D W 1638 2.20 1402.4 1508.4
5 SEA W 1637 2.00 1561.5 1471.1
6 VCR W 1635 2.40 1430.4 1504.8
7 NYF E 1584 2.00 1461.5 1476.2
8 RSL W 1554 2.00 1563.5 1490.0
9 CLT E 1546 1.60 1461.4 1457.2
10 S.J W 1545 2.40 1435.0 1508.1
11 DAL W 1525 1.60 1526.6 1501.6
12 MIN W 1511 1.00 1585.5 1484.6
13 COL W 1511 1.80 1483.7 1513.5
14 CHI E 1481 1.40 1411.7 1481.4
15 CIN E 1461 1.20 1394.5 1503.0
16 TOR E 1458 1.40 1511.6 1469.9
17 HOU W 1453 1.50 1479.2 1506.3
18 ATX W 1436 1.00 1531.6 1515.0
19 NYR E 1429 1.40 1449.0 1488.6
20 DCU E 1420 1.40 1492.4 1480.0
21 LAG W 1413 1.00 1445.0 1513.8
22 ORL E 1409 0.60 1532.4 1483.0
23 CLB E 1407 0.40 1476.1 1465.9
24 STL W 1385 0.80 1566.5 1501.0
25 N.E E 1385 0.75 1533.4 1470.4
26 POR W 1384 0.80 1463.9 1521.3
27 ATL E 1371 0.80 1442.2 1476.4
28 MTL E 1347 0.60 1583.5 1471.3
29 PHI E 1331 0.00 1460.2 1489.9
30 SKC W 1300 0.80 1482.7 1516.4
MLS Predictor as of March 15
Scroll down to compare with the most recent run and see which direction teams are headed.
0.00% may mean there were some sims that got the result, but not enough to round to 0.01%.
Latest results added: March 14: TOR 1-1 NYR, ATL 3-1 PHI, CLB 0-1 NSH, ORL 2-1 MTL, NYF 3-1 COL, CLT 0-0 MIA, DAL 3-3 S.D, HOU 3-2 POR, CHI 1-2 DCU, RSL 2-1 ATX, LAG 1-2 SKC, LAF 2-0 STL. March 15: N.E 6-1 CIN, VCR 6-0 MIN, S.J 0-1 SEA.
Summary: STL, 30th in the ELO rankings, played well for 75 minutes at top seeded LAFC, but ELO will not notice when the favorites get two late goals. Nor do the ELO rankings know about Seattle's crunching of Vancouver 3-nil in mid-week CONCACAF play. Lots of late significant goals on Saturday, including Red Bulls tying goal in Toronto, Houston's 10-man winner at home to Portland, and the controversial penalty in Chicago handing a win to DC United. How many more losses does Philadelphia get before the voters on Coach of The Year last year are relieved of their duties this year? SKC's win against the Galaxy make Philly and St. Louis the new favorites for last place.
With four matches in for everyone, except for the snow-postponed N.E - HOU game, the most important stat beyond points so far may be the strength of schedule so far (below the standings), which is the average ELO rating of teams when they were faced, with a plus or minus 100 for home and away. This shows STL, MIA, MIN and MTL as the ones that the schedule makers handed the toughest start, and S.J, S.D, NYR, and VCR the teams handed the easiest starts. The strength remaining figure covers the remaining 30 games and has less variance, but will get more important as we get closer to the end of the season.
EASTERN (Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up TEAM |
Points So Far |
Max Points |
Avg. Points |
Make Playoffs |
Supp. Shield |
MLSCup Winner |
MLSCup Loser |
Semi Loser |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
7th |
8th |
9th |
Wooden Spoon |
(New York City FC) 3W 1D 0L +8 GD 1633(7) Next: v MIA (03/22) , v STL (04/04) , @ VCR (04/11) | NYF |
|
10 |
100 |
2.50 |
92.56% |
8.94% |
4.72% |
4.67% |
8.75% |
22.32% |
17.53% |
14.03% |
11.04% |
7.87% |
6.82% |
5.40% |
4.20% |
3.32% |
0.03% |
(Nashville SC) 3W 1D 0L +6 GD 1643(5) Next: v ORL (03/21) , @ CHI (04/04) , @ CLT (04/11) | NSH |
|
10 |
100 |
2.50 |
93.48% |
10.37% |
4.76% |
4.28% |
8.84% |
26.15% |
18.49% |
13.42% |
10.45% |
8.03% |
5.74% |
4.68% |
3.74% |
2.74% |
0.04% |
| |
(Inter Miami) 2W 1D 1L +0 GD 1700(3) Next: @ NYF (03/22) , v ATX (04/04) , v NYR (04/11) | MIA |
|
7 |
97 |
1.75 |
95.44% |
10.37% |
5.66% |
4.84% |
9.56% |
26.79% |
20.64% |
14.91% |
10.37% |
7.22% |
5.77% |
4.16% |
3.26% |
2.31% |
0.01% |
(New York Red Bulls) 2W 1D 1L -1 GD 1457(15) Next: @ CLT (03/21) , v CIN (04/04) , @ MIA (04/11) | NYR |
|
7 |
97 |
1.75 |
67.06% |
0.66% |
3.02% |
3.79% |
7.53% |
3.35% |
6.03% |
6.66% |
8.06% |
8.44% |
8.74% |
8.44% |
8.24% |
7.71% |
1.39% |
| |
(DC United) 2W 0D 2L +0 GD 1415(23) Next: @ ATL (03/21) , v DAL (04/04) , @ N.E (04/11) | DCU |
|
6 |
96 |
1.50 |
59.11% |
0.53% |
2.36% |
3.75% |
6.35% |
2.34% |
3.98% |
5.34% |
6.97% |
7.00% |
7.31% |
7.88% |
7.83% |
7.98% |
2.48% |
(Charlotte FC) 1W 2D 1L -1 GD 1514(9) Next: v NYR (03/21) , v PHI (04/04) , v NSH (04/11) | CLT |
|
5 |
95 |
1.25 |
73.59% |
1.26% |
3.43% |
4.33% |
8.54% |
5.55% |
7.60% |
9.25% |
9.21% |
9.64% |
8.53% |
8.06% |
7.34% |
7.27% |
1.14% |
(Chicago Fire) 1W 1D 2L +1 GD 1436(17) Next: @ PHI (03/21) , v NSH (04/04) , v ATL (04/11) | CHI |
|
4 |
94 |
1.00 |
57.29% |
0.49% |
2.86% |
3.57% |
6.23% |
2.15% |
3.24% |
4.87% |
6.06% |
6.41% |
6.80% |
7.85% |
8.14% |
8.14% |
3.63% |
(Toronto FC) 1W 1D 2L -3 GD 1424(20) Next: v CLB (03/21) , v COL (04/04) , v CIN (04/11) | TOR |
|
4 |
94 |
1.00 |
57.10% |
0.38% |
2.76% |
3.35% |
6.18% |
1.86% |
3.79% |
5.41% |
5.93% |
7.10% |
7.23% |
7.32% |
7.47% |
7.55% |
3.44% |
(New England Revolution) 1W 0D 2L +1 GD 1427(19) Next: @ STL (03/21) , v MTL (04/04) , v DCU (04/11) | N.E |
|
3 |
96 |
1.00 |
58.44% |
0.49% |
2.29% |
3.69% |
6.35% |
2.49% |
4.54% |
5.42% |
6.14% |
7.27% |
7.31% |
7.53% |
7.31% |
7.12% |
3.31% |
| |
(Atlanta United FC) 1W 0D 3L -3 GD 1376(27) Next: v DCU (03/21) , v CLB (04/04) , @ CHI (04/11) | ATL |
|
3 |
93 |
0.75 |
47.39% |
0.21% |
2.11% |
2.68% |
5.07% |
1.19% |
2.08% |
3.39% |
3.80% |
5.00% |
5.81% |
5.76% |
6.63% |
7.71% |
6.02% |
(FC Cincinnati) 1W 0D 3L -5 GD 1436(18) Next: v MTL (03/22) , @ NYR (04/04) , @ TOR (04/11) | CIN |
|
3 |
93 |
0.75 |
52.38% |
0.24% |
2.93% |
3.50% |
5.75% |
1.40% |
2.76% |
4.14% |
4.76% |
5.59% |
6.58% |
7.46% |
7.52% |
8.08% |
4.09% |
(CF Montréal) 1W 0D 3L -6 GD 1370(28) Next: @ CIN (03/22) , @ N.E (04/04) , v PHI (04/11) | MTL |
|
3 |
93 |
0.75 |
47.87% |
0.23% |
1.93% |
2.51% |
4.73% |
1.09% |
2.25% |
2.70% |
3.80% |
4.84% |
5.64% |
6.06% |
6.86% |
7.53% |
7.10% |
(Orlando City) 1W 0D 3L -7 GD 1423(21) Next: @ NSH (03/21) , @ LAF (04/04) , @ CLB (04/12) | ORL |
|
3 |
93 |
0.75 |
53.08% |
0.21% |
2.55% |
3.48% |
5.89% |
1.28% |
2.57% |
3.71% |
5.20% |
6.00% |
6.68% |
6.90% |
7.87% |
7.69% |
5.18% |
(Columbus Crew) 0W 2D 2L -2 GD 1437(16) Next: @ TOR (03/21) , @ ATL (04/04) , v ORL (04/12) | CLB |
|
2 |
92 |
0.50 |
54.04% |
0.19% |
2.87% |
3.17% |
5.97% |
1.35% |
3.12% |
4.53% |
5.23% |
5.96% |
6.67% |
7.47% |
7.17% |
7.99% |
4.55% |
(Philadelphia Union) 0W 0D 4L -5 GD 1382(26) Next: v CHI (03/21) , @ CLT (04/04) , @ MTL (04/11) | PHI |
|
0 |
90 |
0.00 |
44.30% |
0.09% |
1.81% |
2.33% |
4.26% |
0.69% |
1.38% |
2.22% |
2.98% |
3.63% |
4.37% |
5.03% |
6.42% |
6.86% |
10.72% |
WESTERN (Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up TEAM |
Points So Far |
Max Points |
Avg. Points |
Make Playoffs |
Supp. Shield |
MLSCup Winner |
MLSCup Loser |
Semi Loser |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
7th |
8th |
9th |
Wooden Spoon |
(Vancouver Whitecaps FC) 4W 0D 0L +13GD 1714(2) Next: v S.J (03/21) , v POR (04/04) , v NYF (04/11) | VCR |
|
12 |
102 |
3.00 |
95.15% |
18.58% |
5.50% |
3.94% |
9.62% |
26.97% |
19.49% |
14.23% |
10.76% |
7.26% |
6.23% |
4.58% |
3.28% |
2.35% |
0.00% |
(Los Angeles FC) 4W 0D 0L +8 GD 1743(1) Next: @ ATX (03/21) , v ORL (04/04) , @ POR (04/11) | LAF |
|
12 |
102 |
3.00 |
96.79% |
22.26% |
6.29% |
3.60% |
9.34% |
30.82% |
19.89% |
13.85% |
10.20% |
7.55% |
5.57% |
4.19% |
2.80% |
1.91% |
0.01% |
| |
(San Diego FC) 3W 1D 0L +8 GD 1654(4) Next: v RSL (03/22) , @ S.J (04/04) , v MIN (04/11) | S.D |
|
10 |
100 |
2.50 |
90.18% |
8.47% |
5.42% |
4.13% |
9.58% |
13.44% |
14.99% |
13.69% |
11.90% |
10.03% |
8.27% |
7.60% |
5.73% |
4.47% |
0.06% |
(San Jose Earthquakes) 3W 0D 1L +5 GD 1471(13) Next: @ VCR (03/21) , v S.D (04/04) , @ SKC (04/11) | S.J |
|
9 |
99 |
2.25 |
64.81% |
1.25% |
3.57% |
3.39% |
7.42% |
2.64% |
4.50% |
6.20% |
6.90% |
8.30% |
8.61% |
9.17% |
9.61% |
8.13% |
0.75% |
| |
(Seattle Sounders) 3W 0D 1L +3 GD 1640(6) Next: @ MIN (03/22) , @ HOU (04/04) , v RSL (04/12) | SEA |
|
9 |
99 |
2.25 |
89.13% |
7.49% |
4.99% |
3.97% |
8.86% |
12.05% |
14.50% |
13.96% |
12.03% |
10.74% |
8.52% |
7.07% |
5.37% |
4.85% |
0.04% |
(Real Salt Lake) 3W 0D 1L +2 GD 1539(8) Next: @ S.D (03/22) , v SKC (04/04) , @ SEA (04/12) | RSL |
|
9 |
99 |
2.25 |
75.09% |
2.88% |
4.41% |
3.92% |
8.01% |
4.70% |
7.40% |
9.33% |
10.01% |
9.61% |
9.42% |
8.72% |
8.17% |
7.40% |
0.33% |
(Colorado Rapids) 2W 0D 2L +1 GD 1469(14) Next: @ SKC (03/21) , @ TOR (04/04) , v HOU (04/11) | COL |
|
6 |
96 |
1.50 |
57.53% |
0.78% |
3.14% |
3.34% |
6.69% |
1.62% |
2.99% |
4.59% |
5.93% |
7.04% |
8.05% |
7.50% |
8.73% |
9.25% |
1.83% |
(Houston Dynamo FC) 2W 0D 1L +0 GD 1480(12) Next: @ DAL (03/21) , v SEA (04/04) , @ COL (04/11) | HOU |
|
6 |
99 |
2.00 |
62.47% |
1.13% |
3.24% |
3.26% |
7.07% |
2.22% |
4.28% |
6.05% |
6.80% |
8.01% |
7.89% |
8.62% |
8.92% |
8.22% |
1.46% |
(FC Dallas) 1W 2D 1L +0 GD 1495(11) Next: v HOU (03/21) , @ DCU (04/04) , v STL (04/11) | DAL |
|
5 |
95 |
1.25 |
58.71% |
0.82% |
3.74% |
3.34% |
7.10% |
1.73% |
3.71% |
4.84% |
6.13% |
7.05% |
8.05% |
8.26% |
8.61% |
8.71% |
1.62% |
| |
(LA Galaxy) 1W 1D 2L -1 GD 1406(24) Next: @ POR (03/22) , v MIN (04/04) , @ ATX (04/11) | LAG |
|
4 |
94 |
1.00 |
42.63% |
0.39% |
2.42% |
2.30% |
4.67% |
0.75% |
1.30% |
1.90% |
3.18% |
4.16% |
4.91% |
6.35% |
6.70% |
7.86% |
5.52% |
(Austin FC) 1W 1D 2L -2 GD 1419(22) Next: v LAF (03/21) , @ MIA (04/04) , v LAG (04/11) | ATX |
|
4 |
94 |
1.00 |
42.44% |
0.25% |
2.34% |
2.44% |
4.94% |
0.70% |
1.40% |
2.10% |
3.17% |
4.27% |
5.09% |
6.11% |
7.12% |
8.25% |
4.23% |
(Sporting Kansas City) 1W 1D 2L -3 GD 1350(29) Next: v COL (03/21) , @ RSL (04/04) , v S.J (04/11) | SKC |
|
4 |
94 |
1.00 |
36.41% |
0.18% |
1.70% |
1.93% |
3.24% |
0.32% |
0.67% |
1.45% |
2.00% |
3.04% |
3.66% |
4.70% |
5.32% |
6.72% |
8.53% |
(Minnesota United FC) 1W 1D 2L -7 GD 1509(10) Next: v SEA (03/22) , @ LAG (04/04) , @ S.D (04/11) | MIN |
|
4 |
94 |
1.00 |
60.67% |
0.71% |
3.87% |
3.13% |
6.98% |
1.70% |
3.77% |
5.53% |
7.33% |
7.37% |
7.99% |
8.12% |
8.40% |
8.63% |
1.83% |
(Portland Timbers) 1W 0D 3L -5 GD 1391(25) Next: v LAG (03/22) , @ VCR (04/04) , v LAF (04/11) | POR |
|
3 |
93 |
0.75 |
39.16% |
0.12% |
2.03% |
2.19% |
4.00% |
0.26% |
0.76% |
1.50% |
2.41% |
3.46% |
4.77% |
5.37% |
6.87% |
7.27% |
6.49% |
(St. Louis City SC) 0W 1D 3L -5 GD 1337(30) Next: v N.E (03/21) , @ NYF (04/04) , @ DAL (04/11) | STL |
|
1 |
91 |
0.25 |
35.70% |
0.03% |
1.28% |
1.18% |
2.48% |
0.08% |
0.35% |
0.78% |
1.25% |
2.11% |
2.97% |
3.64% |
4.37% |
5.98% |
14.17% |
- Number of sims: 10000
- Supporter's Shield winner average points: 79.03
- Wooden Spoon average points: 17.74
- East winner average points: 73.61
- West winner average points: 76.96
- East 4th place average points: 57.30
- West 4th place average points: 60.81
- East average points to make playoffs: 42.06
- West average points to make playoffs: 44.53
POWER RANKINGS Schedule Strength
# Team Div ELO PPG So Far Remaining
1 LAF W 1743 3.00 1453.0 1506.9
2 VCR W 1714 3.00 1415.5 1495.2
3 MIA E 1700 1.75 1623.8 1448.9
4 S.D W 1654 2.50 1387.7 1504.7
5 NSH E 1643 2.50 1466.8 1466.0
6 SEA W 1640 2.25 1503.9 1481.5
7 NYF E 1633 2.50 1420.0 1480.3
8 RSL W 1539 2.25 1537.4 1498.3
9 CLT E 1514 1.25 1465.6 1459.5
10 MIN W 1509 1.00 1603.0 1484.8
11 DAL W 1495 1.25 1565.9 1495.7
12 HOU W 1480 2.00 1423.5 1504.9
13 S.J W 1471 2.25 1386.9 1514.2
14 COL W 1469 1.50 1517.6 1507.5
15 NYR E 1457 1.75 1410.8 1493.6
16 CLB E 1437 0.50 1455.0 1469.1
17 CHI E 1436 1.00 1425.6 1487.2
18 CIN E 1436 0.75 1433.8 1500.3
19 N.E E 1427 1.00 1545.3 1469.9
20 TOR E 1424 1.00 1575.5 1463.4
21 ORL E 1423 0.75 1490.2 1491.2
22 ATX W 1419 1.00 1494.1 1516.5
23 DCU E 1415 1.50 1484.4 1485.6
24 LAG W 1406 1.00 1441.5 1513.7
25 POR W 1391 0.75 1525.2 1506.1
26 PHI E 1382 0.00 1474.1 1485.3
27 ATL E 1376 0.75 1456.8 1474.4
28 MTL E 1370 0.75 1592.7 1477.0
29 SKC W 1350 1.00 1492.2 1509.9
30 STL W 1337 0.25 1637.7 1495.9
MLS Predictor as of March 8
Scroll down to compare with the most recent run and see which direction teams are headed.
0.00% may mean there were some sims that got the result, but not enough to round to 0.01%.
Latest results added: One match N.E - HOU, was postponed this week, everyone else played their third of the season: March 7 Results: NYF 5-0 ORL, DCU 1-2 MIA, ATL 2-3 RSL, CLB 0-0 CHI, CLT 3-1 ATX, PHI 0-1 S.J, SKC 0-1 S.D, NSH 3-1 MIN, STL 0-1 SEA, COL 4-1 LAG, LAF 1-0 DAL, POR 1-4 VCR. March 8: NYR 0-3 MTL, CIN 0-1 TOR.
Summary: Below the standings now are power rankings based on the ELO ratings of the teams. Seven of the top ten are Western teams and seven of the bottom ten are Eastern teams. The chart also contains a strength of schedule thus far figure (home field advantage is 100 points for the purposes of this figure), and a strength of remaining schedule which varies little from the average of 1500, but will be more relevant as fewer games remain in the season. Other than the day one clash between MIA and LAFC, there have been few games between contenders thus far. Still early though: the sims have SKC the early favorite at nearly 19% to be last overall, but they still have a nearly 1% chance to win the MLS Cup!
EASTERN (Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up TEAM |
Points So Far |
Max Points |
Avg. Points |
Make Playoffs |
Supp. Shield |
MLSCup Winner |
MLSCup Loser |
Semi Loser |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
7th |
8th |
9th |
Wooden Spoon |
(New York City FC) 2W 1D 0L +6 GD ELO: 1612(5) Next: v COL (03/14) , v MIA (03/22) , v STL (04/04) | NYF |
|
7 |
100 |
2.33 |
88.83% |
7.09% |
4.60% |
4.39% |
9.29% |
17.37% |
15.56% |
12.98% |
10.13% |
8.92% |
7.36% |
6.63% |
5.43% |
4.36% |
0.09% |
(Nashville SC) 2W 1D 0L +5 GD ELO: 1607(6) Next: @ CLB (03/14) , v ORL (03/21) , @ CHI (04/04) | NSH |
|
7 |
100 |
2.33 |
88.99% |
6.98% |
4.39% |
4.60% |
9.26% |
17.42% |
15.16% |
12.85% |
10.94% |
9.07% |
7.69% |
6.35% |
4.93% |
4.39% |
0.19% |
| |
(Inter Miami) 2W 0D 1L +0 GD ELO: 1708(2) Next: @ CLT (03/14) , @ NYF (03/22) , v ATX (04/04) | MIA |
|
6 |
99 |
2.00 |
95.25% |
13.60% |
5.63% |
4.24% |
9.31% |
32.66% |
19.02% |
13.20% |
9.71% |
6.55% |
4.88% |
4.18% |
2.82% |
2.19% |
0.04% |
(New York Red Bulls) 2W 0D 1L -1 GD ELO: 1451(19) Next: @ TOR (03/14) , @ CLT (03/21) , v CIN (04/04) | NYR |
|
6 |
99 |
2.00 |
66.51% |
1.18% |
2.98% |
4.09% |
7.40% |
4.38% |
6.02% |
6.79% |
7.36% |
8.55% |
8.08% |
7.90% |
8.69% |
7.37% |
1.37% |
| |
(Chicago Fire) 1W 1D 1L +2 GD ELO: 1510(11) Next: v DCU (03/14) , @ PHI (03/21) , v NSH (04/04) | CHI |
|
4 |
97 |
1.33 |
72.15% |
1.84% |
3.40% |
4.22% |
8.29% |
5.62% |
7.43% |
8.43% |
9.01% |
8.53% |
8.68% |
8.45% |
7.64% |
7.44% |
0.92% |
(Charlotte FC) 1W 1D 1L -1 GD ELO: 1505(12) Next: v MIA (03/14) , v NYR (03/21) , v PHI (04/04) | CLT |
|
4 |
97 |
1.33 |
71.64% |
1.75% |
3.48% |
4.12% |
7.72% |
5.72% |
7.59% |
8.78% |
8.75% |
8.42% |
8.10% |
8.53% |
7.42% |
7.20% |
1.13% |
(FC Cincinnati) 1W 0D 2L +0 GD ELO: 1484(15) Next: @ N.E (03/15) , v MTL (03/22) , @ NYR (04/04) | CIN |
|
3 |
96 |
1.00 |
63.16% |
1.06% |
3.33% |
4.16% |
7.24% |
3.63% |
5.99% |
6.39% |
6.97% |
7.62% |
7.39% |
7.92% |
7.46% |
7.51% |
2.28% |
(DC United) 1W 0D 2L -1 GD ELO: 1348(27) Next: @ CHI (03/14) , @ ATL (03/21) , v DAL (04/04) | DCU |
|
3 |
96 |
1.00 |
44.36% |
0.21% |
1.79% |
2.61% |
4.38% |
0.94% |
1.72% |
2.77% |
3.44% |
4.37% |
5.26% |
6.06% |
6.61% |
7.39% |
5.80% |
(Toronto FC) 1W 0D 2L -3 GD ELO: 1430(21) Next: v NYR (03/14) , v CLB (03/21) , v COL (04/04) | TOR |
|
3 |
96 |
1.00 |
58.57% |
0.62% |
2.62% |
3.46% |
6.39% |
2.96% |
4.67% |
5.29% |
5.99% |
6.90% |
7.01% |
6.96% |
7.80% |
7.99% |
3.00% |
| |
(CF Montréal) 1W 0D 2L -5 GD ELO: 1399(24) Next: @ ORL (03/14) , @ CIN (03/22) , @ N.E (04/04) | MTL |
|
3 |
96 |
1.00 |
53.85% |
0.34% |
2.07% |
3.26% |
5.77% |
1.92% |
3.66% |
4.24% |
5.18% |
6.44% |
6.63% |
6.79% |
7.49% |
7.58% |
3.92% |
(Columbus Crew) 0W 2D 1L -1 GD ELO: 1478(17) Next: v NSH (03/14) , @ TOR (03/21) , @ ATL (04/04) | CLB |
|
2 |
95 |
0.67 |
62.98% |
0.70% |
3.31% |
3.87% |
6.44% |
3.12% |
5.52% |
6.78% |
7.27% |
7.32% |
8.15% |
7.37% |
7.73% |
7.61% |
2.11% |
(Philadelphia Union) 0W 0D 3L -3 GD ELO: 1424(22) Next: @ ATL (03/14) , v CHI (03/21) , @ CLT (04/04) | PHI |
|
0 |
93 |
0.00 |
51.19% |
0.31% |
2.69% |
3.28% |
5.53% |
1.46% |
2.32% |
3.67% |
4.64% |
5.38% |
6.27% |
6.77% |
7.20% |
7.98% |
5.50% |
(New England Revolution) 0W 0D 2L -4 GD ELO: 1370(26) Next: v CIN (03/15) , @ STL (03/21) , v MTL (04/04) | N.E |
|
0 |
96 |
0.00 |
49.00% |
0.37% |
2.22% |
2.72% |
4.87% |
1.48% |
2.43% |
3.28% |
4.19% |
4.38% |
5.32% |
5.70% |
6.78% |
7.18% |
8.26% |
(Atlanta United FC) 0W 0D 3L -5 GD ELO: 1327(29) Next: v PHI (03/14) , v DCU (03/21) , v CLB (04/04) | ATL |
|
0 |
93 |
0.00 |
41.65% |
0.16% |
1.38% |
2.14% |
3.67% |
0.55% |
1.22% |
1.80% |
2.55% |
3.18% |
4.22% |
4.80% |
5.38% |
6.27% |
11.68% |
(Orlando City) 0W 0D 3L -8 GD ELO: 1390(25) Next: v MTL (03/14) , @ NSH (03/21) , @ LAF (04/04) | ORL |
|
0 |
93 |
0.00 |
45.84% |
0.13% |
2.24% |
2.71% |
4.44% |
0.77% |
1.69% |
2.75% |
3.87% |
4.37% |
4.96% |
5.59% |
6.62% |
7.54% |
7.68% |
WESTERN (Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up TEAM |
Points So Far |
Max Points |
Avg. Points |
Make Playoffs |
Supp. Shield |
MLSCup Winner |
MLSCup Loser |
Semi Loser |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
7th |
8th |
9th |
Wooden Spoon |
(San Diego FC) 3W 0D 0L +8 GD ELO: 1660(4) Next: @ DAL (03/14) , v RSL (03/22) , @ S.J (04/04) | S.D |
|
9 |
102 |
3.00 |
88.98% |
11.51% |
4.89% |
4.19% |
9.21% |
17.81% |
15.25% |
12.63% |
10.90% |
8.75% |
7.66% |
6.75% |
5.08% |
4.10% |
0.05% |
(Vancouver Whitecaps FC) 3W 0D 0L +7 GD ELO: 1695(3) Next: v MIN (03/14) , v S.J (03/21) , v POR (04/04) | VCR |
|
9 |
102 |
3.00 |
92.02% |
15.77% |
5.48% |
4.22% |
9.15% |
22.72% |
16.72% |
13.49% |
10.91% |
8.51% |
7.07% |
5.14% |
4.30% |
3.11% |
0.05% |
| |
(San Jose Earthquakes) 3W 0D 0L +6 GD ELO: 1519(9) Next: v SEA (03/15) , @ VCR (03/21) , v S.D (04/04) | S.J |
|
9 |
102 |
3.00 |
73.13% |
3.58% |
3.91% |
3.65% |
7.64% |
6.16% |
7.81% |
8.26% |
9.00% |
8.86% |
8.65% |
8.70% |
8.00% |
7.29% |
0.40% |
(Los Angeles FC) 3W 0D 0L +6 GD ELO: 1737(1) Next: v STL (03/14) , @ ATX (03/21) , v ORL (04/04) | LAF |
|
9 |
102 |
3.00 |
95.15% |
18.95% |
6.35% |
4.04% |
9.74% |
27.51% |
19.67% |
13.86% |
10.40% |
7.74% |
6.19% |
4.09% |
3.17% |
2.51% |
0.01% |
| |
(Colorado Rapids) 2W 0D 1L +3 GD ELO: 1489(14) Next: @ NYF (03/14) , @ SKC (03/21) , @ TOR (04/04) | COL |
|
6 |
99 |
2.00 |
60.17% |
1.62% |
3.67% |
3.23% |
6.99% |
2.80% |
3.95% |
5.54% |
6.66% |
6.86% |
7.98% |
8.52% |
8.26% |
8.55% |
1.05% |
(Seattle Sounders) 2W 0D 1L +2 GD ELO: 1598(7) Next: @ S.J (03/15) , @ MIN (03/22) , @ HOU (04/04) | SEA |
|
6 |
99 |
2.00 |
80.12% |
4.53% |
5.14% |
3.91% |
8.80% |
7.79% |
10.69% |
10.17% |
9.99% |
10.14% |
9.30% |
8.03% |
7.12% |
6.68% |
0.21% |
(Real Salt Lake) 2W 0D 1L +1 GD ELO: 1514(10) Next: v ATX (03/14) , @ S.D (03/22) , v SKC (04/04) | RSL |
|
6 |
99 |
2.00 |
67.25% |
2.17% |
3.84% |
3.48% |
7.51% |
3.69% |
5.87% |
7.48% |
7.51% |
8.78% |
8.12% |
8.05% |
8.37% |
8.55% |
0.83% |
(LA Galaxy) 1W 1D 1L +0 GD ELO: 1483(16) Next: v SKC (03/14) , @ POR (03/22) , v MIN (04/04) | LAG |
|
4 |
97 |
1.33 |
56.39% |
1.08% |
3.35% |
3.10% |
6.47% |
2.42% |
3.46% |
4.73% |
6.05% |
6.52% |
6.83% |
7.94% |
8.38% |
8.16% |
1.90% |
(FC Dallas) 1W 1D 1L +0 GD ELO: 1489(13) Next: v S.D (03/14) , v HOU (03/21) , @ DCU (04/04) | DAL |
|
4 |
97 |
1.33 |
58.18% |
1.20% |
3.07% |
3.04% |
7.00% |
2.36% |
4.08% |
5.10% |
5.66% |
6.60% |
7.10% |
7.91% |
8.78% |
8.97% |
1.62% |
| |
(Minnesota United FC) 1W 1D 1L -1 GD ELO: 1527(8) Next: @ VCR (03/14) , v SEA (03/22) , @ LAG (04/04) | MIN |
|
4 |
97 |
1.33 |
64.81% |
1.60% |
3.85% |
3.53% |
7.01% |
3.19% |
5.07% |
7.07% |
7.48% |
7.71% |
8.15% |
8.65% |
8.58% |
7.98% |
0.93% |
(Austin FC) 1W 1D 1L -1 GD ELO: 1441(20) Next: @ RSL (03/14) , v LAF (03/21) , @ MIA (04/04) | ATX |
|
4 |
97 |
1.33 |
47.21% |
0.50% |
3.09% |
2.52% |
5.38% |
1.09% |
2.07% |
3.17% |
4.16% |
5.35% |
6.42% |
6.26% |
7.33% |
8.34% |
3.02% |
(Houston Dynamo FC) 1W 0D 1L -1 GD ELO: 1452(18) Next: v POR (03/14) , @ DAL (03/21) , v SEA (04/04) | HOU |
|
3 |
99 |
1.50 |
52.59% |
0.80% |
2.80% |
2.78% |
5.99% |
1.68% |
3.14% |
4.35% |
5.42% |
6.16% |
6.20% |
7.19% |
7.79% |
8.07% |
2.59% |
(Portland Timbers) 1W 0D 2L -4 GD ELO: 1416(23) Next: @ HOU (03/14) , v LAG (03/22) , @ VCR (04/04) | POR |
|
3 |
96 |
1.00 |
43.16% |
0.26% |
1.96% |
2.35% |
4.45% |
0.48% |
1.39% |
2.66% |
3.38% |
4.45% |
5.29% |
6.56% |
7.18% |
7.92% |
3.85% |
(St. Louis City SC) 0W 1D 2L -3 GD ELO: 1342(28) Next: @ LAF (03/14) , v N.E (03/21) , @ NYF (04/04) | STL |
|
1 |
94 |
0.33 |
34.09% |
0.06% |
1.53% |
1.37% |
2.88% |
0.19% |
0.60% |
0.99% |
1.58% |
2.47% |
3.18% |
3.75% |
4.76% |
5.77% |
10.80% |
(Sporting Kansas City) 0W 1D 2L -4 GD ELO: 1279(30) Next: @ LAG (03/14) , v COL (03/21) , @ RSL (04/04) | SKC |
|
1 |
94 |
0.33 |
32.78% |
0.03% |
0.94% |
0.72% |
1.78% |
0.11% |
0.23% |
0.50% |
0.90% |
1.10% |
1.86% |
2.46% |
2.90% |
4.00% |
18.72% |
- Number of sims: 10000
- Supporter's Shield winner average points: 78.56
- Wooden Spoon average points: 16.82
- East winner average points: 73.41
- West winner average points: 76.44
- East 4th place average points: 57.52
- West 4th place average points: 60.76
- East average points to make playoffs: 42.17
- West average points to make playoffs: 44.88
MLS Predictor as of March 1
Scroll down to compare with the most recent run and see which direction teams are headed.
0.00% may mean there were some sims that got the result, but not enough to round to 0.01%.
Latest results added: Once again, everyone plays a match on weekend number two: February 28 Results: CHI 3-0 MTL, NYR 1-0 N.E, MIN 1-0 CIN, COL 2-0 POR, RSL 2-1 SEA, S.J 2-0 ATL, HOU 0-2 LAF, DAL 0-0 NSH, SKC 2-2 CLB, VCR 3-0 TOR, LAG 3-0 CLT. March 1: ATX 1-0 DCU, PHI 1-2 NYF, ORL 2-4 MIA, S.D 2-0 STL
Summary: The West continued dominating in week two. Every team in the West has at least one point in their first two, six Eastern teams have no points after two games. Already the expected points for West positions are more than two points higher than the corresponding East spots. Before we all decide that Michael Bradley's true calling is as an MLS coach, let's recognize that the league has given him and Red Bulls five starting matches most teams would kill for: @ORL, vN.E, vMTL, @TOR, @CLT, none of these exactly world beaters. Red Bulls, the only undefeated Eastern team, should be at or near the top of the East until at least May with this start. But, there are lots of matches yet to be played.
EASTERN (Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up TEAM |
Points So Far |
Max Points |
Avg. Points |
Make Playoffs |
Supp. Shield |
MLSCup Winner |
MLSCup Loser |
Semi Loser |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
7th |
8th |
9th |
Wooden Spoon |
(New York Red Bulls) 2W 0D 0L +2 GD ELO: 1542 Next: v MTL (03/08) , @ TOR (03/14) , @ CLT (03/21) | NYR |
|
6 |
102 |
3.00 |
81.43% |
5.38% |
3.87% |
4.31% |
8.42% |
12.55% |
11.92% |
10.94% |
9.27% |
8.91% |
8.33% |
6.95% |
6.26% |
5.83% |
0.47% |
(Nashville SC) 1W 1D 0L +3 GD ELO: 1573 Next: v MIN (03/07) , @ CLB (03/14) , v ORL (03/21) | NSH |
|
4 |
100 |
2.00 |
81.89% |
5.39% |
3.65% |
4.22% |
8.77% |
12.27% |
11.92% |
11.10% |
10.00% |
8.77% |
8.10% |
7.27% |
6.32% |
5.57% |
0.57% |
| |
(New York City FC) 1W 1D 0L +1 GD ELO: 1594 Next: v ORL (03/07) , v COL (03/14) , v MIA (03/22) | NYF |
|
4 |
100 |
2.00 |
83.89% |
6.13% |
4.19% |
4.91% |
8.94% |
13.78% |
12.32% |
11.19% |
10.75% |
9.11% |
7.94% |
7.20% |
5.89% |
5.44% |
0.27% |
(Chicago Fire) 1W 0D 1L +2 GD ELO: 1504 Next: @ CLB (03/07) , v DCU (03/14) , @ PHI (03/21) | CHI |
|
3 |
99 |
1.50 |
70.33% |
2.26% |
3.35% |
3.83% |
7.64% |
6.23% |
7.64% |
7.81% |
8.43% |
8.25% |
8.08% |
8.43% |
7.40% |
6.86% |
1.20% |
| |
(FC Cincinnati) 1W 0D 1L +1 GD ELO: 1560 Next: v TOR (03/08) , @ N.E (03/15) , v MTL (03/22) | CIN |
|
3 |
99 |
1.50 |
77.76% |
3.83% |
4.35% |
4.97% |
8.62% |
9.50% |
10.14% |
9.65% |
9.84% |
9.29% |
8.12% |
7.16% |
6.86% |
6.65% |
0.55% |
(DC United) 1W 0D 1L +0 GD ELO: 1368 Next: v MIA (03/07) , @ CHI (03/14) , @ ATL (03/21) | DCU |
|
3 |
99 |
1.50 |
49.78% |
0.38% |
2.19% |
2.96% |
4.94% |
1.74% |
2.73% |
3.28% |
4.34% |
5.06% |
6.14% |
6.19% |
7.44% |
8.06% |
4.80% |
(Inter Miami) 1W 0D 1L -1 GD ELO: 1690 Next: @ DCU (03/07) , @ CLT (03/14) , @ NYF (03/22) | MIA |
|
3 |
99 |
1.50 |
92.36% |
11.94% |
5.47% |
4.62% |
8.86% |
26.38% |
16.46% |
12.77% |
9.77% |
8.11% |
6.57% |
4.94% |
4.02% |
3.22% |
0.12% |
(Columbus Crew) 0W 1D 1L -1 GD ELO: 1485 Next: v CHI (03/07) , v NSH (03/14) , @ TOR (03/21) | CLB |
|
1 |
97 |
0.50 |
64.46% |
1.56% |
3.19% |
3.86% |
6.92% |
4.55% |
5.59% |
6.85% |
6.90% |
7.27% |
7.44% |
7.73% |
7.83% |
7.81% |
2.49% |
(Charlotte FC) 0W 1D 1L -3 GD ELO: 1469 Next: v ATX (03/07) , v MIA (03/14) , v NYR (03/21) | CLT |
|
1 |
97 |
0.50 |
62.53% |
1.19% |
3.08% |
3.94% |
7.08% |
3.67% |
5.23% |
6.00% |
6.81% |
7.51% |
7.00% |
8.14% |
7.92% |
7.52% |
2.73% |
| |
(Philadelphia Union) 0W 0D 2L -2 GD ELO: 1484 Next: v S.J (03/07) , @ ATL (03/14) , v CHI (03/21) | PHI |
|
0 |
96 |
0.00 |
63.25% |
1.09% |
3.06% |
4.18% |
7.11% |
3.62% |
5.56% |
6.03% |
6.77% |
7.17% |
7.36% |
7.81% |
8.15% |
8.06% |
2.72% |
(Orlando City) 0W 0D 2L -3 GD ELO: 1406 Next: @ NYF (03/07) , v MTL (03/14) , @ NSH (03/21) | ORL |
|
0 |
96 |
0.00 |
49.41% |
0.32% |
2.34% |
2.64% |
5.13% |
1.21% |
2.44% |
3.55% |
4.32% |
4.55% |
5.98% |
6.25% |
7.01% |
7.95% |
6.15% |
(Toronto FC) 0W 0D 2L -4 GD ELO: 1360 Next: @ CIN (03/08) , v NYR (03/14) , v CLB (03/21) | TOR |
|
0 |
96 |
0.00 |
46.73% |
0.30% |
1.96% |
2.48% |
4.61% |
1.28% |
2.07% |
2.81% |
3.26% |
4.21% |
4.82% |
5.71% |
6.75% |
6.80% |
9.02% |
(New England Revolution) 0W 0D 2L -4 GD ELO: 1370 Next: v HOU (03/07) , v CIN (03/15) , @ STL (03/21) | N.E |
|
0 |
96 |
0.00 |
47.77% |
0.32% |
1.87% |
2.53% |
4.71% |
1.31% |
2.22% |
3.39% |
3.52% |
4.30% |
5.20% |
6.07% |
6.26% |
6.96% |
8.54% |
(Atlanta United FC) 0W 0D 2L -4 GD ELO: 1371 Next: v RSL (03/07) , v PHI (03/14) , v DCU (03/21) | ATL |
|
0 |
96 |
0.00 |
47.32% |
0.31% |
1.94% |
2.53% |
4.78% |
1.38% |
2.47% |
3.12% |
3.79% |
4.22% |
5.07% |
5.86% |
6.50% |
7.26% |
7.65% |
(CF Montréal) 0W 0D 2L -8 GD ELO: 1316 Next: @ NYR (03/08) , @ ORL (03/14) , @ CIN (03/22) | MTL |
|
0 |
96 |
0.00 |
41.60% |
0.15% |
1.49% |
2.02% |
3.47% |
0.53% |
1.29% |
1.51% |
2.23% |
3.27% |
3.85% |
4.29% |
5.39% |
6.01% |
13.23% |
WESTERN (Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up TEAM |
Points So Far |
Max Points |
Avg. Points |
Make Playoffs |
Supp. Shield |
MLSCup Winner |
MLSCup Loser |
Semi Loser |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
7th |
8th |
9th |
Wooden Spoon |
(San Diego FC) 2W 0D 0L +7 GD ELO: 1643 Next: @ SKC (03/07) , @ DAL (03/14) , v RSL (03/22) | S.D |
|
6 |
102 |
3.00 |
85.71% |
9.39% |
5.42% |
3.79% |
8.96% |
14.81% |
13.83% |
12.08% |
10.67% |
8.80% |
7.60% |
6.80% |
6.04% |
4.97% |
0.11% |
(Los Angeles FC) 2W 0D 0L +5 GD ELO: 1725 Next: v DAL (03/07) , v STL (03/14) , @ ATX (03/21) | LAF |
|
6 |
102 |
3.00 |
92.67% |
18.08% |
6.33% |
4.42% |
9.09% |
27.39% |
17.27% |
12.39% |
9.54% |
8.27% |
6.20% |
4.44% |
3.73% |
3.43% |
0.01% |
| |
(San Jose Earthquakes) 2W 0D 0L +5 GD ELO: 1467 Next: @ PHI (03/07) , v SEA (03/15) , @ VCR (03/21) | S.J |
|
6 |
102 |
3.00 |
60.42% |
2.28% |
3.00% |
3.14% |
6.55% |
4.49% |
5.18% |
5.55% |
6.51% |
7.05% |
7.63% |
7.30% |
7.66% |
7.86% |
1.19% |
(Vancouver Whitecaps FC) 2W 0D 0L +4 GD ELO: 1663 Next: @ POR (03/07) , v MIN (03/14) , v S.J (03/21) | VCR |
|
6 |
102 |
3.00 |
87.80% |
11.88% |
5.19% |
4.27% |
9.17% |
18.61% |
15.02% |
12.16% |
10.70% |
8.44% |
7.24% |
6.17% |
5.16% |
4.25% |
0.05% |
| |
(LA Galaxy) 1W 1D 0L +3 GD ELO: 1526 Next: @ COL (03/07) , v SKC (03/14) , @ POR (03/22) | LAG |
|
4 |
100 |
2.00 |
67.30% |
2.72% |
3.68% |
3.65% |
7.57% |
5.26% |
6.56% |
7.66% |
7.71% |
8.12% |
8.25% |
7.40% |
7.82% |
7.47% |
1.05% |
(FC Dallas) 1W 1D 0L +1 GD ELO: 1500 Next: @ LAF (03/07) , v S.D (03/14) , v HOU (03/21) | DAL |
|
4 |
100 |
2.00 |
61.02% |
1.86% |
3.67% |
3.49% |
6.71% |
3.80% |
5.23% |
6.35% |
6.59% |
7.29% |
7.24% |
7.66% |
7.72% |
7.89% |
1.25% |
(Austin FC) 1W 1D 0L +1 GD ELO: 1473 Next: @ CLT (03/07) , @ RSL (03/14) , v LAF (03/21) | ATX |
|
4 |
100 |
2.00 |
55.80% |
1.38% |
3.16% |
2.92% |
6.46% |
2.77% |
4.14% |
4.81% |
5.69% |
6.30% |
7.03% |
7.56% |
8.02% |
7.65% |
1.83% |
(Minnesota United FC) 1W 1D 0L +1 GD ELO: 1556 Next: @ NSH (03/07) , @ VCR (03/14) , v SEA (03/22) | MIN |
|
4 |
100 |
2.00 |
71.86% |
3.63% |
4.03% |
3.45% |
8.35% |
6.60% |
7.97% |
8.46% |
8.62% |
8.22% |
8.16% |
8.47% |
7.72% |
6.87% |
0.77% |
(Seattle Sounders) 1W 0D 1L +1 GD ELO: 1569 Next: @ STL (03/07) , @ S.J (03/15) , @ MIN (03/22) | SEA |
|
3 |
99 |
1.50 |
72.38% |
3.67% |
4.56% |
3.53% |
7.49% |
6.44% |
8.32% |
8.43% |
9.00% |
8.35% |
8.50% |
7.91% |
7.67% |
7.02% |
0.74% |
| |
(Colorado Rapids) 1W 0D 1L +0 GD ELO: 1438 Next: v LAG (03/07) , @ NYF (03/14) , @ SKC (03/21) | COL |
|
3 |
99 |
1.50 |
50.68% |
0.88% |
2.87% |
2.57% |
5.73% |
1.93% |
3.02% |
4.34% |
4.91% |
5.72% |
6.47% |
6.62% |
6.96% |
7.96% |
2.75% |
(Real Salt Lake) 1W 0D 1L +0 GD ELO: 1476 Next: @ ATL (03/07) , v ATX (03/14) , @ S.D (03/22) | RSL |
|
3 |
99 |
1.50 |
56.97% |
1.37% |
3.14% |
2.90% |
6.57% |
2.65% |
4.35% |
5.74% |
6.21% |
6.80% |
6.92% |
7.50% |
7.19% |
7.70% |
1.91% |
(Portland Timbers) 1W 0D 1L -1 GD ELO: 1453 Next: v VCR (03/07) , @ HOU (03/14) , v LAG (03/22) | POR |
|
3 |
99 |
1.50 |
52.66% |
0.85% |
3.07% |
2.48% |
5.95% |
2.17% |
3.36% |
4.48% |
5.25% |
5.99% |
6.53% |
7.04% |
7.49% |
7.52% |
2.83% |
(Houston Dynamo FC) 1W 0D 1L -1 GD ELO: 1452 Next: @ N.E (03/07) , v POR (03/14) , @ DAL (03/21) | HOU |
|
3 |
99 |
1.50 |
52.65% |
1.14% |
2.87% |
2.62% |
5.53% |
2.28% |
3.72% |
4.45% |
5.13% |
5.79% |
6.09% |
7.16% |
7.52% |
7.66% |
2.85% |
(St. Louis City SC) 0W 1D 1L -2 GD ELO: 1375 Next: v SEA (03/07) , @ LAF (03/14) , v N.E (03/21) | STL |
|
1 |
97 |
0.50 |
38.72% |
0.25% |
1.81% |
1.81% |
3.74% |
0.56% |
1.40% |
2.13% |
2.29% |
3.32% |
3.84% |
5.03% |
5.63% |
6.92% |
7.60% |
(Sporting Kansas City) 0W 1D 1L -3 GD ELO: 1296 Next: v S.D (03/07) , @ LAG (03/14) , v COL (03/21) | SKC |
|
1 |
97 |
0.50 |
32.85% |
0.07% |
1.20% |
0.96% |
2.13% |
0.24% |
0.63% |
0.97% |
1.18% |
1.54% |
2.30% |
2.94% |
3.67% |
4.83% |
14.55% |
- Number of sims: 10000
- Supporter's Shield winner average points: 77.81
- Wooden Spoon average points: 16.89
- East winner average points: 73.20
- West winner average points: 75.35
- East 4th place average points: 57.79
- West 4th place average points: 59.95
- East average points to make playoffs: 42.42
- West average points to make playoffs: 44.75
MLS Predictor as of February 22
Scroll up and down to compare with the most recent run and see which direction teams are headed.
0.00% may mean there were some sims that got the result, but not enough to round to 0.01%.
Latest results added: Everyone played on opening weekend, February 21-22. Results: STL 1-1 CLT, CIN 2-0 ATL, VCR 1-0 RSL, ORL 1-2 NYR, DCU 1-0 PHI, DAL 3-2 TOR, HOU 2-1 CHI, NSH 4-1 N.E, ATX 2-2 MIN, LAF 3-0 MIA, S.J 3-0 SKC, POR 3-2 CLB, S.D 5-0 MTL, LAG 1-1 NYF, SEA 2-0 COL.
Summary: The West is going to be a rough ride this year. Western teams went 5W 2D 0L against Eastern teams on opening weekend, and Vancouver's 1-nil win over RSL, thanks to the explosion of goals elsewhere, puts them....eighth after the goal difference tie-breaker. Top-ranked MIA traveled to second-ranked LAFC and lost 3-nil, leaving Miami atop the East but now behind LAFC and VCR. But, it is still awfully early on. Anyone can finish anywhere.
EASTERN (Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up TEAM |
Points So Far |
Max Points |
Avg. Points |
Make Playoffs |
Supp. Shield |
MLSCup Winner |
MLSCup Loser |
Semi Loser |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
7th |
8th |
9th |
Wooden Spoon |
(Nashville SC) 1W 0D 0L +3GD ELO: 1571 Next: @ DAL (02/28) , v MIN (03/07) , @ CLB (03/14) | NSH |
|
3 |
102 |
3.00 |
79.68% |
6.08% |
3.95% |
3.96% |
8.60% |
13.27% |
11.30% |
9.87% |
8.81% |
8.70% |
7.96% |
6.79% |
6.37% |
5.97% |
0.64% |
(FC Cincinnati) 1W 0D 0L +2GD ELO: 1598 Next: @ MIN (02/28) , v TOR (03/08) , @ N.E (03/15) | CIN |
|
3 |
102 |
3.00 |
81.87% |
7.15% |
4.62% |
4.13% |
9.11% |
14.81% |
11.78% |
10.87% |
9.28% |
8.46% |
7.86% |
6.68% |
6.27% |
5.57% |
0.29% |
| |
(New York Red Bulls) 1W 0D 0L +1GD ELO: 1524 Next: v N.E (02/28) , v MTL (03/08) , @ TOR (03/14) | NYR |
|
3 |
102 |
3.00 |
73.76% |
4.02% |
3.71% |
4.18% |
7.63% |
9.01% |
9.03% |
9.17% |
8.89% |
8.05% |
7.94% |
7.36% |
6.80% |
6.72% |
0.79% |
(DC United) 1W 0D 0L +1GD ELO: 1391 Next: @ ATX (03/01) , v MIA (03/07) , @ CHI (03/14) | DCU |
|
3 |
102 |
3.00 |
51.63% |
0.88% |
2.25% |
2.96% |
5.18% |
2.60% |
3.42% |
4.31% |
4.96% |
5.55% |
6.24% |
6.42% |
7.11% |
7.16% |
3.86% |
| |
(Charlotte FC) 0W 1D 0L +0GD ELO: 1503 Next: @ LAG (02/28) , v ATX (03/07) , v MIA (03/14) | CLT |
|
1 |
100 |
1.00 |
67.14% |
2.59% |
3.43% |
3.97% |
7.58% |
6.64% |
6.92% |
7.68% |
8.15% |
7.44% |
7.46% |
7.35% |
7.21% |
6.40% |
1.89% |
(New York City FC) 0W 1D 0L +0GD ELO: 1544 Next: @ PHI (03/01) , v ORL (03/07) , v COL (03/14) | NYF |
|
1 |
100 |
1.00 |
72.50% |
3.24% |
3.96% |
4.28% |
7.55% |
8.39% |
8.71% |
7.94% |
8.43% |
8.43% |
7.43% |
7.38% |
7.33% |
7.24% |
1.22% |
(Toronto FC) 0W 0D 1L -1GD ELO: 1370 Next: @ VCR (02/28) , @ CIN (03/08) , v NYR (03/14) | TOR |
|
0 |
99 |
0.00 |
45.92% |
0.38% |
1.93% |
2.29% |
4.67% |
1.54% |
2.61% |
2.94% |
3.50% |
4.52% |
5.06% |
5.41% |
6.32% |
6.94% |
7.08% |
(Columbus Crew) 0W 0D 1L -1GD ELO: 1494 Next: @ SKC (02/28) , v CHI (03/07) , v NSH (03/14) | CLB |
|
0 |
99 |
0.00 |
64.77% |
1.86% |
3.17% |
3.55% |
7.00% |
5.44% |
6.36% |
6.91% |
7.07% |
7.36% |
7.18% |
7.82% |
7.60% |
6.89% |
2.14% |
(Chicago Fire) 0W 0D 1L -1GD ELO: 1484 Next: v MTL (02/28) , @ CLB (03/07) , v DCU (03/14) | CHI |
|
0 |
99 |
0.00 |
61.49% |
1.74% |
3.45% |
3.37% |
6.88% |
4.62% |
5.58% |
5.99% |
6.50% |
6.50% |
7.18% |
8.07% |
7.51% |
7.19% |
2.35% |
| |
(Orlando City) 0W 0D 1L -1GD ELO: 1439 Next: v MIA (03/01) , @ NYF (03/07) , v MTL (03/14) | ORL |
|
0 |
99 |
0.00 |
53.22% |
0.65% |
3.07% |
2.87% |
6.23% |
2.13% |
3.66% |
4.24% |
4.91% |
5.55% |
6.29% |
6.91% |
7.11% |
7.97% |
4.45% |
(Philadelphia Union) 0W 0D 1L -1GD ELO: 1541 Next: v NYF (03/01) , v S.J (03/07) , @ ATL (03/14) | PHI |
|
0 |
99 |
0.00 |
70.90% |
3.10% |
4.06% |
3.89% |
7.79% |
7.71% |
8.05% |
8.62% |
7.95% |
7.99% |
8.06% |
7.06% |
6.95% |
7.11% |
1.40% |
(Atlanta United FC) 0W 0D 1L -2GD ELO: 1399 Next: @ S.J (02/28) , v RSL (03/07) , v PHI (03/14) | ATL |
|
0 |
99 |
0.00 |
49.17% |
0.68% |
2.03% |
2.56% |
4.61% |
2.05% |
3.08% |
3.88% |
4.74% |
5.05% |
5.30% |
5.74% |
6.31% |
7.30% |
5.72% |
(New England Revolution) 0W 0D 1L -3GD ELO: 1386 Next: @ NYR (02/28) , v HOU (03/07) , v CIN (03/15) | N.E |
|
0 |
99 |
0.00 |
48.56% |
0.63% |
2.23% |
2.57% |
4.90% |
1.91% |
2.97% |
3.49% |
3.95% |
4.64% |
4.94% |
5.91% |
6.35% |
7.01% |
7.39% |
(Inter Miami) 0W 0D 1L -3GD ELO: 1662 Next: @ ORL (03/01) , @ DCU (03/07) , @ CLT (03/14) | MIA |
|
0 |
99 |
0.00 |
87.13% |
8.41% |
5.00% |
4.55% |
8.53% |
18.85% |
14.93% |
11.92% |
10.06% |
8.17% |
7.13% |
6.04% |
5.32% |
4.31% |
0.40% |
(CF Montréal) 0W 0D 1L -5GD ELO: 1334 Next: @ CHI (02/28) , @ NYR (03/08) , @ ORL (03/14) | MTL |
|
0 |
99 |
0.00 |
41.90% |
0.35% |
1.79% |
2.22% |
3.74% |
1.03% |
1.60% |
2.17% |
2.80% |
3.59% |
3.97% |
5.06% |
5.44% |
6.22% |
10.02% |
WESTERN (Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up TEAM |
Points So Far |
Max Points |
Avg. Points |
Make Playoffs |
Supp. Shield |
MLSCup Winner |
MLSCup Loser |
Semi Loser |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
7th |
8th |
9th |
Wooden Spoon |
(San Diego FC) 1W 0D 0L +5GD ELO: 1631 Next: v STL (03/01) , @ SKC (03/07) , @ DAL (03/14) | S.D |
|
3 |
102 |
3.00 |
83.50% |
8.85% |
5.03% |
4.20% |
8.96% |
14.25% |
12.69% |
11.32% |
9.67% |
9.28% |
7.48% |
6.94% |
5.92% |
5.61% |
0.34% |
(San Jose Earthquakes) 1W 0D 0L +3GD ELO: 1435 Next: v ATL (02/28) , @ PHI (03/07) , v SEA (03/15) | S.J |
|
3 |
102 |
3.00 |
55.61% |
1.30% |
2.54% |
2.93% |
5.69% |
2.82% |
3.75% |
5.08% |
5.78% |
5.91% |
7.01% |
6.89% |
7.41% |
8.33% |
2.63% |
| |
(Los Angeles FC) 1W 0D 0L +3GD ELO: 1695 Next: @ HOU (02/28) , v DAL (03/07) , v STL (03/14) | LAF |
|
3 |
102 |
3.00 |
90.57% |
13.77% |
5.60% |
4.28% |
9.20% |
21.72% |
16.22% |
12.30% |
10.45% |
8.53% |
6.82% |
5.72% |
4.76% |
3.98% |
0.07% |
(Seattle Sounders) 1W 0D 0L +2GD ELO: 1620 Next: @ RSL (02/28) , @ STL (03/07) , @ S.J (03/15) | SEA |
|
3 |
102 |
3.00 |
83.84% |
8.39% |
4.98% |
4.09% |
8.52% |
14.19% |
12.12% |
11.57% |
10.24% |
8.95% |
7.89% |
7.26% |
5.74% |
5.55% |
0.33% |
| |
(FC Dallas) 1W 0D 0L +1GD ELO: 1503 Next: v NSH (02/28) , @ LAF (03/07) , v S.D (03/14) | DAL |
|
3 |
102 |
3.00 |
66.69% |
3.09% |
3.27% |
3.57% |
7.72% |
5.74% |
6.51% |
7.30% |
7.30% |
7.87% |
7.71% |
7.96% |
8.01% |
6.89% |
1.40% |
(Portland Timbers) 1W 0D 0L +1GD ELO: 1497 Next: @ COL (02/28) , v VCR (03/07) , @ HOU (03/14) | POR |
|
3 |
102 |
3.00 |
66.14% |
2.43% |
3.69% |
3.73% |
7.55% |
4.79% |
6.32% |
6.97% |
7.19% |
7.54% |
7.99% |
8.18% |
7.80% |
7.89% |
1.47% |
(Houston Dynamo FC) 1W 0D 0L +1GD ELO: 1487 Next: v LAF (02/28) , @ N.E (03/07) , v POR (03/14) | HOU |
|
3 |
102 |
3.00 |
64.14% |
2.61% |
3.14% |
3.48% |
7.26% |
4.81% |
6.30% |
6.81% |
7.10% |
7.57% |
7.92% |
7.42% |
7.50% |
6.89% |
1.82% |
(Vancouver Whitecaps FC) 1W 0D 0L +1GD ELO: 1653 Next: v TOR (02/28) , @ POR (03/07) , v MIN (03/14) | VCR |
|
3 |
102 |
3.00 |
86.93% |
10.21% |
5.39% |
4.11% |
9.31% |
16.68% |
14.19% |
12.27% |
10.47% |
8.48% |
7.80% |
6.62% |
5.55% |
4.75% |
0.12% |
(Austin FC) 0W 1D 0L +0GD ELO: 1447 Next: v DCU (03/01) , @ CLT (03/07) , @ RSL (03/14) | ATX |
|
1 |
100 |
1.00 |
52.83% |
1.01% |
2.89% |
2.74% |
5.66% |
2.12% |
3.22% |
4.13% |
4.90% |
5.62% |
6.26% |
7.07% |
7.86% |
8.04% |
3.61% |
| |
(Minnesota United FC) 0W 1D 0L +0GD ELO: 1513 Next: v CIN (02/28) , @ NSH (03/07) , @ VCR (03/14) | MIN |
|
1 |
100 |
1.00 |
65.07% |
2.34% |
3.75% |
3.78% |
7.23% |
4.42% |
6.28% |
6.97% |
6.97% |
7.77% |
7.55% |
7.94% |
7.57% |
7.88% |
1.72% |
(LA Galaxy) 0W 1D 0L +0GD ELO: 1486 Next: v CLT (02/28) , @ COL (03/07) , v SKC (03/14) | LAG |
|
1 |
100 |
1.00 |
60.08% |
1.95% |
2.92% |
3.32% |
6.39% |
3.64% |
5.05% |
5.39% |
6.44% |
6.93% |
7.31% |
7.54% |
7.75% |
7.81% |
2.22% |
(St. Louis City SC) 0W 1D 0L +0GD ELO: 1387 Next: @ S.D (03/01) , v SEA (03/07) , @ LAF (03/14) | STL |
|
1 |
100 |
1.00 |
45.14% |
0.60% |
2.49% |
2.28% |
4.62% |
1.33% |
2.12% |
2.90% |
3.71% |
4.50% |
4.98% |
5.61% |
6.58% |
7.42% |
5.99% |
(Real Salt Lake) 0W 0D 1L -1GD ELO: 1418 Next: v SEA (02/28) , @ ATL (03/07) , v ATX (03/14) | RSL |
|
0 |
99 |
0.00 |
48.57% |
0.91% |
2.57% |
2.85% |
5.05% |
1.92% |
2.64% |
3.34% |
4.54% |
4.97% |
5.52% |
5.88% |
6.68% |
7.59% |
5.49% |
(Colorado Rapids) 0W 0D 1L -2GD ELO: 1386 Next: v POR (02/28) , v LAG (03/07) , @ NYF (03/14) | COL |
|
0 |
99 |
0.00 |
44.45% |
0.60% |
2.02% |
2.01% |
4.40% |
1.24% |
2.03% |
2.65% |
3.70% |
3.93% |
5.13% |
5.74% |
6.63% |
6.49% |
6.91% |
(Sporting Kansas City) 0W 0D 1L -3GD ELO: 1287 Next: v CLB (02/28) , v S.D (03/07) , @ LAG (03/14) | SKC |
|
0 |
99 |
0.00 |
36.80% |
0.18% |
1.07% |
1.28% |
2.44% |
0.33% |
0.56% |
1.00% |
1.54% |
2.15% |
2.63% |
3.23% |
4.24% |
4.88% |
16.24% |
- Number of sims: 10000
- Supporter's Shield winner average points: 77.61
- Wooden Spoon average points: 16.86
- East winner average points: 73.18
- West winner average points: 75.03
- East 4th place average points: 58.21
- West 4th place average points: 59.61
- East average points to make playoffs: 43.10
- West average points to make playoffs: 43.93
MLS Predictor as of February 20
Scroll up and down to compare with the most recent run and see which direction teams are headed.
0.00% may mean there were some sims that got the result, but not enough to round to 0.01%.
PRE-SEASON VERSION: The starting ELO ratings are taken from an online averaging of power rankings from six different sites online, with Inter Miami at the top at 1700 and last year's Wooden Spoon winners, Sporting KC, lowest at 1310. This gives SKC about a 15% chance to beat MIA at home and a 5% chance on the road. As results come in, the ELO ratings of teams will change based on results and as the remaining matches are simulated, the ELO ratings for that sim will also change. As we get further on in the season, we'll simulate the fewer unplayed games more times.
Summary: Anyone can finish anywhere, this will be the case for at least the first third of the season, until the levels of the teams settle in and match the standings. The order of the teams all tied at zero points so far is based on their pre-season ELO rating. Some anomalies are explained by the unbalanced schedule: Columbus slightly more likely to finish in the playoffs than higher-rated NYCFC, for example. Probably Columbus has a slightly easier schedule: or it could be just random fluctuation. Same for Houston and Austin in the West.
EASTERN (Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up TEAM |
Points So Far |
Max Points |
Avg. Points |
Make Playoffs |
Supp. Shield |
MLSCup Winner |
MLSCup Loser |
Semi Loser |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
7th |
8th |
9th |
Wooden Spoon |
(Inter Miami) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1700 Next: @ LAF (02/21) , @ ORL (03/01) , @ DCU (03/07) | MIA |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
89.96% |
13.76% |
5.43% |
4.30% |
9.53% |
23.57% |
15.82% |
12.16% |
9.80% |
8.13% |
7.05% |
5.28% |
4.60% |
3.39% |
0.16% |
(Philadelphia Union) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1600 Next: @ DCU (02/21) , v NYF (03/01) , v S.J (03/07) | PHI |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
78.89% |
6.23% |
4.31% |
3.72% |
7.95% |
11.86% |
11.29% |
9.95% |
9.31% |
8.53% |
7.64% |
7.35% |
6.50% |
5.75% |
0.71% |
| |
(FC Cincinnati) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1580 Next: v ATL (02/21) , @ MIN (02/28) , v TOR (03/08) | CIN |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
75.02% |
5.33% |
4.56% |
3.95% |
8.60% |
10.22% |
9.23% |
9.15% |
9.14% |
8.19% |
8.42% |
7.22% |
6.66% |
6.12% |
0.67% |
(Nashville SC) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1550 Next: v N.E (02/21) , @ DAL (02/28) , v MIN (03/07) | NSH |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
73.00% |
4.20% |
3.82% |
4.08% |
7.98% |
8.38% |
9.46% |
8.57% |
8.23% |
7.76% |
7.96% |
7.39% |
6.96% |
7.07% |
1.22% |
| |
(New York City FC) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1540 Next: @ LAG (02/22) , @ PHI (03/01) , v ORL (03/07) | NYF |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
69.19% |
3.38% |
3.42% |
4.09% |
7.30% |
6.98% |
7.62% |
8.02% |
7.93% |
7.86% |
7.10% |
7.74% |
7.11% |
7.33% |
1.50% |
(Columbus Crew) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1530 Next: @ POR (02/21) , @ SKC (02/28) , v CHI (03/07) | CLB |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
70.27% |
3.91% |
3.39% |
4.05% |
7.68% |
7.99% |
7.90% |
8.36% |
7.82% |
7.63% |
7.81% |
7.28% |
7.19% |
6.79% |
1.50% |
(Chicago Fire) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1520 Next: @ HOU (02/21) , v MTL (02/28) , @ CLB (03/07) | CHI |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
68.48% |
3.08% |
3.78% |
3.65% |
6.68% |
6.41% |
7.56% |
7.96% |
7.53% |
7.74% |
7.27% |
8.01% |
6.99% |
7.48% |
1.53% |
(Charlotte FC) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1505 Next: @ STL (02/21) , @ LAG (02/28) , v ATX (03/07) | CLT |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
65.54% |
3.01% |
3.40% |
3.41% |
7.38% |
6.25% |
6.95% |
6.74% |
7.24% |
7.19% |
7.20% |
7.42% |
7.51% |
6.80% |
2.24% |
(Orlando City) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1500 Next: v NYR (02/21) , v MIA (03/01) , @ NYF (03/07) | ORL |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
64.77% |
2.30% |
3.49% |
3.72% |
7.38% |
5.25% |
5.91% |
7.39% |
7.11% |
7.47% |
7.60% |
7.53% |
7.34% |
7.13% |
2.04% |
(New York Red Bulls) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1470 Next: @ ORL (02/21) , v N.E (02/28) , v MTL (03/08) | NYR |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
60.34% |
1.82% |
2.97% |
3.37% |
6.74% |
4.03% |
5.22% |
6.16% |
6.17% |
7.25% |
6.82% |
6.79% |
7.48% |
7.43% |
2.99% |
| |
(Atlanta United FC) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1415 Next: @ CIN (02/21) , @ S.J (02/28) , v RSL (03/07) | ATL |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
51.47% |
1.26% |
2.50% |
2.56% |
5.42% |
2.82% |
3.67% |
4.00% |
4.81% |
5.27% |
5.77% |
6.67% |
7.23% |
6.86% |
4.37% |
(New England Revolution) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1405 Next: @ NSH (02/21) , @ NYR (02/28) , v HOU (03/07) | N.E |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
50.90% |
1.01% |
2.98% |
2.78% |
4.91% |
2.38% |
3.36% |
3.59% |
4.92% |
5.20% |
5.88% |
5.75% |
7.07% |
7.18% |
5.57% |
(Toronto FC) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1390 Next: @ DAL (02/21) , @ VCR (02/28) , @ CIN (03/08) | TOR |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
48.15% |
0.72% |
2.41% |
2.31% |
4.82% |
1.76% |
2.78% |
3.64% |
4.21% |
4.80% |
5.20% |
5.92% |
6.55% |
7.50% |
5.79% |
(CF Montréal) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1345 Next: @ S.D (02/21) , @ CHI (02/28) , @ NYR (03/08) | MTL |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
42.48% |
0.48% |
1.98% |
2.07% |
3.66% |
1.33% |
1.75% |
2.43% |
2.82% |
3.70% |
4.28% |
5.03% |
5.61% |
6.74% |
8.79% |
(DC United) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1325 Next: v PHI (02/21) , @ ATX (03/01) , v MIA (03/07) | DCU |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
40.77% |
0.32% |
1.62% |
1.88% |
3.97% |
0.77% |
1.48% |
1.88% |
2.96% |
3.28% |
4.00% |
4.62% |
5.20% |
6.43% |
10.15% |
WESTERN (Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up TEAM |
Points So Far |
Max Points |
Avg. Points |
Make Playoffs |
Supp. Shield |
MLSCup Winner |
MLSCup Loser |
Semi Loser |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
7th |
8th |
9th |
Wooden Spoon |
(Los Angeles FC) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1650 Next: v MIA (02/21) , @ HOU (02/28) , v DAL (03/07) | LAF |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
85.76% |
9.79% |
5.33% |
4.46% |
8.61% |
17.79% |
13.73% |
11.34% |
9.60% |
8.76% |
7.25% |
6.29% |
5.79% |
4.84% |
0.37% |
(Vancouver Whitecaps FC) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1640 Next: v RSL (02/21) , v TOR (02/28) , @ POR (03/07) | VCR |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
85.62% |
8.76% |
5.05% |
4.35% |
9.30% |
16.99% |
13.86% |
11.39% |
9.95% |
8.37% |
7.60% |
6.58% |
5.64% |
4.83% |
0.41% |
| |
(San Diego FC) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1620 Next: v MTL (02/21) , v STL (03/01) , @ SKC (03/07) | S.D |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
81.94% |
7.06% |
4.47% |
4.39% |
9.12% |
13.30% |
12.22% |
11.11% |
9.69% |
8.61% |
7.99% |
6.82% |
5.96% |
5.76% |
0.48% |
(Seattle Sounders) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1605 Next: v COL (02/22) , @ RSL (02/28) , @ STL (03/07) | SEA |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
80.57% |
6.57% |
4.92% |
3.91% |
8.50% |
13.32% |
11.62% |
10.55% |
9.26% |
8.36% |
7.61% |
7.33% |
6.14% |
5.66% |
0.72% |
| |
(Minnesota United FC) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1510 Next: @ ATX (02/21) , v CIN (02/28) , @ NSH (03/07) | MIN |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
66.90% |
2.96% |
3.42% |
3.54% |
7.37% |
6.23% |
7.11% |
7.28% |
7.85% |
7.92% |
7.74% |
7.02% |
6.82% |
6.97% |
1.96% |
(LA Galaxy) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1490 Next: v NYF (02/22) , v CLT (02/28) , @ COL (03/07) | LAG |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
65.12% |
2.85% |
3.59% |
3.50% |
6.99% |
6.02% |
6.47% |
6.98% |
6.98% |
7.44% |
7.53% |
7.22% |
7.18% |
6.97% |
2.33% |
(FC Dallas) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1480 Next: v TOR (02/21) , v NSH (02/28) , @ LAF (03/07) | DAL |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
63.28% |
2.44% |
3.19% |
3.72% |
6.67% |
5.28% |
6.10% |
6.41% |
6.81% |
7.39% |
7.28% |
7.32% |
7.09% |
7.14% |
2.46% |
(Portland Timbers) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1455 Next: v CLB (02/21) , @ COL (02/28) , v VCR (03/07) | POR |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
59.15% |
1.38% |
3.00% |
3.09% |
6.68% |
3.47% |
4.77% |
5.33% |
6.29% |
6.76% |
6.78% |
7.66% |
7.38% |
7.55% |
3.16% |
(Austin FC) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1450 Next: v MIN (02/21) , v DCU (03/01) , @ CLT (03/07) | ATX |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
57.39% |
1.66% |
2.52% |
3.05% |
6.14% |
3.69% |
4.54% |
5.09% |
5.89% |
5.82% |
6.43% |
7.62% |
7.43% |
7.57% |
3.31% |
| |
(Houston Dynamo FC) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1445 Next: v CHI (02/21) , v LAF (02/28) , @ N.E (03/07) | HOU |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
57.91% |
1.49% |
2.94% |
3.15% |
5.85% |
3.62% |
4.83% |
5.27% |
6.02% |
6.46% |
6.77% |
6.63% |
7.37% |
7.16% |
3.78% |
(Real Salt Lake) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1430 Next: @ VCR (02/21) , v SEA (02/28) , @ ATL (03/07) | RSL |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
53.48% |
1.33% |
2.54% |
3.01% |
5.63% |
2.89% |
3.94% |
4.56% |
5.00% |
5.77% |
6.00% |
6.65% |
7.07% |
7.58% |
4.02% |
(San Jose Earthquakes) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1410 Next: v SKC (02/21) , v ATL (02/28) , @ PHI (03/07) | S.J |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
51.91% |
1.06% |
2.36% |
2.77% |
5.57% |
2.44% |
3.23% |
4.53% |
4.82% |
5.20% |
6.07% |
6.46% |
7.36% |
7.08% |
4.72% |
(Colorado Rapids) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1400 Next: @ SEA (02/22) , v POR (02/28) , v LAG (03/07) | COL |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
51.40% |
0.73% |
2.63% |
2.86% |
5.29% |
2.14% |
3.45% |
4.07% |
4.64% |
4.96% |
5.69% |
6.30% |
7.18% |
7.42% |
5.55% |
(St. Louis City SC) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1385 Next: v CLT (02/21) , @ S.D (03/01) , v SEA (03/07) | STL |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
50.13% |
0.85% |
2.39% |
2.60% |
4.85% |
2.03% |
2.86% |
4.27% |
4.57% |
5.36% |
5.75% |
5.87% |
6.40% |
7.43% |
5.59% |
(Sporting Kansas City) 0W 0D 0L +0GD ELO: 1310 Next: @ S.J (02/21) , v CLB (02/28) , v S.D (03/07) | SKC |
|
0 |
102 |
— |
40.21% |
0.26% |
1.59% |
1.66% |
3.43% |
0.79% |
1.27% |
1.82% |
2.63% |
2.82% |
3.51% |
4.23% |
5.19% |
6.04% |
11.91% |
- Number of sims: 10000
- Supporter's Shield winner average points: 77.61
- Wooden Spoon average points: 16.75
- East winner average points: 74.24
- West winner average points: 74.07
- East 4th place average points: 59.03
- West 4th place average points: 58.78
- East average points to make playoffs: 43.60
- West average points to make playoffs: 43.31